Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x722db2841f8405ffb54ecc960ca2fbd765c3b1f75cfc5d4ff392dcf84dfacf40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $727,900
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $625,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $727,900 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 22c | 50,261$11,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,258.42 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 25c | 48,921$12,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,045.15 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 15c | 40,243$6,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,054.85 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2beb…0a24backed Yes | 23c | 27,493$6,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,213.28 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb2…99a3backed No | 67c | 26,601$17,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.24 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d34…0772backed Yes | 0c | 25,039$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca6…241ebacked No | 70c | 24,009$16,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,297.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 27c | 18,557$4,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,967.56 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 30c | 16,079$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,849.96 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 26c | 12,856$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.1 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 70c | 11,520$8,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.73 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed Yes | 1c | 11,122$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…2383backed Yes | 48c | 8,673$4,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,163.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 32c | 8,408$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.09 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Yes | 34c | 8,176$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf2…17f2backed Yes | 25c | 8,121$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.44 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 19c | 7,950$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.55 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…f4cfbacked Yes | 2c | 7,264$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 7cpaid | +504%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47a…6d60backed No | 77c | 7,000$5,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked No | 77c | 6,728$5,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…c3b0backed Yes | 37c | 6,186$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.84 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…55cdbacked No | 46c | 5,999$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed No | 48c | 5,962$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 0c | 5,684$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed No | 61c | 5,418$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 5,344$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.11 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 29c | 5,237$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.14 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…c104backed No | 56c | 4,837$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 76c | 4,731$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.62 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 72c | 4,558$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.81 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…94ecbacked No | 50c | 4,530$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2956…01cfbacked Yes | 28c | 4,424$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -80%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 21c | 4,251$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.07 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…9732backed Yes | 24c | 4,109$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…600abacked No | 64c | 3,702$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…08f8backed No | 61c | 3,582$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Yes | 10c | 3,366$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.63 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 78c | 3,327$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.26 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc7…3976backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Yes | 11c | 2,933$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.15 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 30c | 2,800$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.03 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207c…27ebbacked No | 79c | 2,742$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…a07abacked No | 80c | 2,713$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd0…c8d9backed Yes | 35c | 2,586$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 2,514$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 37c | 2,487$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.61 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 31c | 2,463$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.47 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…287fbacked No | 65c | 2,280$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…d142backed Yes | 20c | 2,241$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…a3a9backed Yes | 48c | 2,220$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 80c | 2,002$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.51 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 22c | 1,835$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.36 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…5a5abacked Yes | 22c | 1,775$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…8519backed No | 71c | 1,725$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,700$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7e…23ebbacked No | 78c | 1,683$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.58 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7445…3686backed No | 67c | 1,515$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb24c…eefebacked No | 78c | 1,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f6…e582backed No | 77c | 1,485$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.89 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f66…a5a7backed No | 69c | 1,461$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…1ad9backed Yes | 28c | 1,453$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.03 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Yes | 31c | 1,453$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 26c | 1,383$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.01 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…9518backed Yes | 7c | 1,373$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…7a07backed Yes | 30c | 1,358$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.28 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc273…2392backed No | 57c | 1,342$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.75 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…d858backed Yes | 33c | 1,300$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…4899backed No | 77c | 1,252$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.06 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b8…e4d3backed Yes | 11c | 1,189$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4660…43aabacked Yes | 2c | 1,169$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 7c | 1,169$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 62c | 1,110$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…751abacked Yes | 3c | 1,045$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 1,019$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.91 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…a440backed Yes | 19c | 1,001$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…97bfbacked Yes | 25c | 999.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 999.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…3529backed Yes | 2c | 971.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…0d2abacked Yes | 1c | 952.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked No | 56c | 910.17$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.09 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc07e…48b1backed Yes | 22c | 902.24$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…893dbacked Yes | 17c | 892.07$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…8f87backed Yes | 8c | 867.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561c…11cbbacked Yes | 21c | 845.39$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe937…d46abacked Yes | 15c | 840.62$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +794.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710a…898dbacked No | 71c | 804.97$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…b101backed Yes | 23c | 799.65$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94e…f946backed Yes | 35c | 776.91$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 9c | 750.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…0198backed Yes | 34c | 745.92$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.63 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…019bbacked No | 68c | 705.22$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 668.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed No | 66c | 660$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…dc03backed No | 54c | 659.54$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 24c | 652.64$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.03 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9d…058ebacked Yes | 15c | 639.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8172…abeabacked Yes | 15c | 629.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 33c | 627.02$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.47 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd09…9c71backed No | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5190…9590backed Yes | 7c | 618.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.