Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81ea864b8e6a11ba3f8f15c7aac6c26207153219226d1546c5f8adbd8bedf133
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $723,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $694,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $723,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ebf…f519backed No | 0c | 104,485$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1864…8ca9backed No | 0c | 85,614$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed No | 5c | 56,389$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.48 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…d8e6backed No | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…f479backed No | 51c | 26,004$13,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,301.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 3c | 19,213$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.42 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 11c | 13,233$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.28 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 57c | 8,972$5,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.61 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 50c | 6,409$3,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.27 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…55cdbacked No | 50c | 5,905$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 62c | 5,863$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.5 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 43c | 3,704$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.12 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…4ae0backed Yes | 39c | 3,699$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 62c | 3,044$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.1 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5601…4ef8backed No | 50c | 2,869$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…ed1fbacked Yes | 50c | 2,807$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.43 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked No | 9c | 2,592$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.92 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 40c | 2,272$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.48 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 45c | 2,215$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.63 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Yes | 56c | 2,138$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.66 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec67…86b9backed No | 4c | 2,120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 56c | 2,098$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.28 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked No | 61c | 2,087$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…6ebfbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed Yes | 62c | 1,997$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.88 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5a…df23backed Yes | 40c | 1,923$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.53 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked No | 7c | 1,913$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.93 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 9c | 1,738$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.41 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed Yes | 50c | 1,678$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.19 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 29c | 1,639$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.45 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed No | 12c | 1,582$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.28 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 36c | 1,501$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.42 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 54c | 1,498$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.29 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…1e46backed No | 67c | 1,430$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 47c | 1,400$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…4042backed Yes | 59c | 1,400$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…368abacked No | 57c | 1,400$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.99 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 42c | 1,345$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.6 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 1,305$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…1176backed Yes | 47c | 1,217$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed Yes | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…a3a9backed Yes | 35c | 1,185$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 22c | 1,176$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…aa59backed No | 8c | 1,124$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…decabacked No | 62c | 1,071$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.26 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…2b1cbacked Yes | 62c | 1,048$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 6c | 1,044$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…ac0abacked Yes | 49c | 1,043$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.53 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 55c | 1,017$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.64 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked No | 5c | 1,010$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798d…b91fbacked No | 4c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d41…df69backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…1b90backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b0…dfd5backed No | 61c | 988.77$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 52c | 979.52$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.2 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb4…8d70backed No | 51c | 979.08$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed No | 5c | 973.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked Yes | 49c | 950.91$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6d…c782backed No | 64c | 935.81$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb2…99a3backed No | 44c | 919.36$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.52 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…4109backed No | 2c | 896.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 3c | 819.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa205…c6c6backed No | 37c | 799.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed No | 12c | 727.73$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27a…1c07backed No | 65c | 699.98$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…c85fbacked No | 29c | 661.03$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 4c | 573.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 50c | 566.16$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.79 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…a700backed No | 7c | 533.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…abdfbacked Yes | 49c | 521.92$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 4c | 505.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…08f8backed No | 22c | 500$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…8ca1backed Yes | 63c | 490.07$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e7…8b69backed No | 40c | 480.75$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e114backed Yes | 51c | 431.27$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…7a07backed Yes | 45c | 431.07$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.57 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…1a88backed No | 46c | 421.61$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +68%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…1520backed Yes | 49c | 395.4$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Yes | 79c | 372.33$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ef…90e2backed Yes | 50c | 371.2$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…4deebacked No | 24c | 371.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.06 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed No | 52c | 358.03$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.18 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 61c | 347.14$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.23 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561c…11cbbacked Yes | 55c | 340.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.03 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 51c | 336.73$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.36 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 4c | 333.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed No | 61c | 323.41$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.45 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 25c | 304.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…a096backed No | 54c | 301.87$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.63 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…ea58backed Yes | 54c | 299.98$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…b78ebacked No | 37c | 282.43$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…fb90backed No | 47c | 281.45$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 48c | 280.57$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.35 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…c048backed Yes | 54c | 280.13$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 14c | 268.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…fd08backed No | 46c | 258.15$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…0caebacked No | 6c | 248.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…a473backed No | 10c | 248.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…ad1fbacked Yes | 49c | 227.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.