Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1889a2b777aea48dfc49618adfe5df7d9b564a3139223ebc18f65949e50add8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $829,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $623,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $829,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 6c | 67,789$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,814.52 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 13c | 51,729$6,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,709.8 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…4388backed No | 77c | 49,344$38,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,230.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 21c | 34,870$7,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,444.46 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 77c | 32,964$25,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,458.57 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 26c | 28,320$7,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,321.41 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…47cdbacked No | 56c | 24,327$13,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,719.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…1867backed Yes | 13c | 21,095$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…51ebbacked Yes | 1c | 20,064$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.14 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e2…f479backed No | 52c | 19,278$9,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,337.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…ad4dbacked Yes | 16c | 19,258$3,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,022.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2beb…0a24backed Yes | 31c | 17,242$5,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,325.41 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 14,856$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.06 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 3c | 14,682$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.92 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…2352backed Yes | 5c | 12,165$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.41 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 15c | 10,622$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.9 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 61c | 10,089$6,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,111.18 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Yes | 65c | 8,842$5,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,741.69 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…f178backed Yes | 16c | 8,633$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…2e9cbacked Yes | 16c | 7,763$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 3c | 7,182$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.36 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 37c | 6,302$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.69 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…a55cbacked No | 76c | 6,059$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 27c | 6,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…8b32backed Yes | 75c | 5,753$4,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.3 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 22c | 5,343$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe030…db01backed Yes | 0c | 4,934$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 4,848$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…e94dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,543$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.87 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 23c | 4,260$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.09 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,250$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…7474backed Yes | 10c | 4,228$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 4,074$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb301…1208backed Yes | 10c | 4,064$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Yes | 59c | 4,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,710$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 2c | 3,595$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e81…7db5backed Yes | 25c | 3,546$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe725…e5b9backed Yes | 62c | 3,062$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 1c | 3,025$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 51c | 2,530$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.83 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 16c | 2,509$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.8 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 77c | 2,417$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.84 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,380$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.24 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 5c | 2,247$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 55c | 2,230$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.85 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c6b4backed Yes | 1c | 2,229$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Yes | 2c | 2,228$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 6c | 2,226$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75de…ae49backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…9274backed Yes | 2c | 1,984$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 73c | 1,978$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.95 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x505e…affcbacked Yes | 40c | 1,946$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.29 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 6c | 1,896$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3041…acf2backed Yes | 1c | 1,857$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…6ca4backed Yes | 51c | 1,827$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4398…de19backed No | 51c | 1,788$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x561c…11cbbacked Yes | 17c | 1,574$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfb…cc11backed Yes | 3c | 1,496$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…17e5backed Yes | 28c | 1,425$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b6…9272backed No | 67c | 1,421$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.41 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,108$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 17c | 1,101$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed Yes | 4c | 1,051$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x259e…8e87backed Yes | 25c | 1,042$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…7a07backed Yes | 45c | 1,017$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.26 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c43…608bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,013$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…4540backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Yes | 20c | 999.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…2b1cbacked Yes | 55c | 999.94$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked No | 46c | 996.89$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd0…a56ebacked Yes | 18c | 889.77$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…e7a2backed Yes | 4c | 889.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 26c | 868.2$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.25 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…5b55backed No | 30c | 857.54$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.49 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…d589backed Yes | 41c | 840.94$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…b78ebacked Yes | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.4 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 80c | 776.61$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.65 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc131…f290backed Yes | 25c | 746.47$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.64 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed Yes | 18c | 743.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…25b9backed Yes | 24c | 729.25$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 13c | 674.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed Yes | 20c | 649.75$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 6c | 642.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…1ad9backed Yes | 32c | 614.77$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc218…1d97backed No | 80c | 607.71$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 605$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…3529backed Yes | 3c | 593.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…015cbacked Yes | 4c | 587.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…fd47backed Yes | 16c | 571.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 11c | 568.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.23 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked Yes | 15c | 562.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…a3c3backed Yes | 9c | 550.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked Yes | 77c | 550$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…b5efbacked Yes | 8c | 525.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 2c | 505.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…14dabacked Yes | 27c | 500.7$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…744fbacked No | 52c | 487.87$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.