TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed36…e096

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 63 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT5226.9%14 W · 38 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-40.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+162.7%+$325.37
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$332.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Solana reach $100 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+43.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+356.7%+$535.01
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$110
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$67.36
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$366.67
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 17 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$450
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$56.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$200.94
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$964
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.3wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+96.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+45%+$224.78
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+356.3%+$1,425
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$50.92
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$246.27
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$125.02
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+183.1%+$1,831.37
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$312.82
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
All 12 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-3.9wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderibacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+254.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+254.8%+$1,019.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$158.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.