Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf96b95cd0ec672074c62b9656eeeea74d6ebcf4177ca4e181c5594cd2c105f6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Yes | 6c | 25,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…b87dbacked Yes | 5c | 11,319$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 42c | 8,118$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.38 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 77c | 6,908$5,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.81 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 61c | 5,620$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,435 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,875$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…d6e3backed Yes | 4c | 3,269$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,996$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.24 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed Yes | 23c | 1,783$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.07 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked No | 77c | 1,579$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.86 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 8c | 1,518$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,347$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.32 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 63c | 1,277$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.06 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…f251backed Yes | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…c09ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,228$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…6767backed Yes | 52c | 1,215$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 40c | 1,096$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.51 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 56c | 1,023$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.53 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 17c | 966.16$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.37 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5ccbbacked No | 71c | 904.37$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.47 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +78%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 36c | 898.89$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.73 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked No | 78c | 851.21$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.46 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f70…0ca9backed No | 59c | 850.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab54…da9fbacked Yes | 6c | 841.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…d142backed Yes | 2c | 812.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…b66fbacked Yes | 42c | 759.51$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 72c | 694.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d6…1388backed Yes | 3c | 668.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed Yes | 2c | 649.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 76c | 599.99$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0d8bbacked Yes | 4c | 585.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b822backed Yes | 2c | 577.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 17c | 561.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 71c | 539.9$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.94 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 9c | 534.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…fe2dbacked No | 38c | 521.54$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…f8e8backed Yes | 5c | 521.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 57c | 508.38$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.97 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe95f…1a57backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6685…0622backed No | 56c | 449.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…49debacked No | 70c | 430$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 4c | 401.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…06b7backed Yes | 3c | 400.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7647…9f44backed Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Yes | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 26c | 385.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…e698backed Yes | 45c | 374.86$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 341.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Yes | 43c | 334.28$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.42 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…9df3backed Yes | 66c | 330.49$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 74c | 299.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 33c | 247.53$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 66c | 226.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed Yes | 48c | 220.13$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…c3d7backed No | 32c | 218.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.51 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…f27dbacked No | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97e3…ad4ebacked No | 69c | 198$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…e4edbacked No | 41c | 195.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.59 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 69c | 192$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6a09backed Yes | 12c | 185.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…8862backed Yes | 68c | 167.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae14…362dbacked Yes | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4282…3455backed Yes | 55c | 158.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38f…67adbacked Yes | 13c | 153$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed No | 59c | 140.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 35cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 73c | 137.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…e034backed Yes | 39c | 121.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…5506backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9724…fbc7backed Yes | 27c | 117.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked Yes | 62c | 113.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…0b73backed Yes | 17c | 112.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175c…e90bbacked Yes | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3756…cffabacked Yes | 57c | 106.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed No | 32c | 100.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…50dbbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaecd…27abbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcb…0521backed Yes | 42c | 99.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…869bbacked No | 58c | 99.78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 62c | 98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed Yes | 33c | 96.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…1856backed Yes | 59c | 94.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed No | 39c | 93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ed…fbddbacked Yes | 68c | 89.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbf…1585backed No | 55c | 85.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9e…a7dfbacked Yes | 65c | 84.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816c…ac2cbacked Yes | 32c | 84.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked Yes | 15c | 73.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 80c | 71.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…a756backed Yes | 68c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ad…d2edbacked No | 75c | 61.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 8-14?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.