Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a16ca5b1aa944576237d3c27e7c028ca876d1364ad7665c1cbbee48863aafbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 78c | 26,059$20,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,649.71 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 28c | 24,933$6,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,991.74 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…a91dbacked Yes | 7c | 15,097$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.17 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 14c | 8,950$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.19 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 35c | 8,200$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.27 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…b66fbacked Yes | 2c | 7,137$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…c1b5backed No | 63c | 3,169$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 21c | 3,054$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.64 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 14c | 2,737$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.05 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 53c | 2,520$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.69 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 26c | 2,505$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.31 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4530…9378backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…b520backed No | 62c | 2,425$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.32 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed No | 78c | 2,216$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.91 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc40b…8c5abacked Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…d0c6backed Yes | 22c | 1,818$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 10c | 1,707$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 11c | 1,699$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940e…732ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,680$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 17c | 1,476$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.71 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…d019backed Yes | 13c | 1,463$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 8c | 1,397$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…760dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,286$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,224$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a623backed No | 57c | 932.1$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked Yes | 13c | 716.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…05efbacked No | 67c | 701.4$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.45 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…7093backed Yes | 35c | 677.93$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 15c | 658.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 20c | 636.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…c09ebacked Yes | 16c | 635.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 24c | 622.81$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 18c | 601.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 19c | 536.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9667backed Yes | 6c | 530.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 10c | 508.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…d260backed Yes | 13c | 503.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa3…0b0cbacked Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6685…0622backed No | 55c | 451.52$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.52 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 79c | 416.67$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed Yes | 9c | 406.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…d142backed Yes | 5c | 402.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…08b1backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 23c | 394.04$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ee…04c2backed Yes | 20c | 335$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Yes | 11c | 318.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…5f24backed Yes | 11c | 310$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4902…eeb1backed Yes | 46c | 284.15$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 18c | 280.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d4…2101backed Yes | 4c | 266.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked No | 78c | 241.96$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed No | 62c | 241.63$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…69dbbacked Yes | 11c | 227.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 32c | 213.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Yes | 19c | 207.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…bb69backed Yes | 14c | 207.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…6d1ebacked Yes | 15c | 203.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…b5bfbacked No | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4615…5ccbbacked No | 46c | 202.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +78%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b822backed Yes | 25c | 201.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2acb…4a1dbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…50dbbacked Yes | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…f27dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…8520backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…49ebbacked Yes | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9402…21febacked No | 54c | 186.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…9bfabacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…5506backed Yes | 30c | 173.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…e4edbacked Yes | 18c | 169.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 17c | 168.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 79c | 158.71$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1d…8031backed Yes | 8c | 154.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…f412backed Yes | 17c | 138.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d03…3a52backed Yes | 17c | 136.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 11cpaid | +238.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…3bfbbacked Yes | 14c | 135.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…3b17backed Yes | 37c | 134.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9e…11d4backed No | 74c | 134.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd43…0699backed Yes | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…8d57backed Yes | 25c | 127.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…4b4bbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…8fa2backed Yes | 20c | 112.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…b749backed Yes | 17c | 101.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…c46cbacked Yes | 18c | 101.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…338ebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…0830backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af5…d57abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792f…a740backed Yes | 18c | 96.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc00…122dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be8…95b2backed Yes | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…5c20backed Yes | 12c | 90$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…07dabacked Yes | 14c | 89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf659…d1fabacked No | 67c | 87.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0782…fa77backed Yes | 17c | 86.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 25c | 82.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e09…24dcbacked Yes | 31c | 81.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…51e0backed Yes | 20c | 76.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 8-14?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.