TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a17…d13e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
189
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10633%35 W · 71 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.8
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$21.42
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.62
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or below on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.17
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.36
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.52
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.48
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$20.15
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$20.47
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+247.1%+$36.91
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.55
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.08
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.27
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.59
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.96
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.62
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.07
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+129.7%+$140.93
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.31
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$36.45
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+71%+$119.11
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+230.8%+$226.36
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$79.77
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.09
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.54
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$167.87
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$33.66
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.79
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.89
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.34
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.74
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians - Completed match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$36.09
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$57.5
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+73%+$24.2
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.24
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.27
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$803.36
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.83
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.81
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.25
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$100.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$116.48
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$54.29
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.19
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.32
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$228.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,875Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$992.22
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 June 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+417.5%+$1,701.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.05
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$234.67
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+112.5%+$389.82
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$269.38
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.37
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.71
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.63
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.32
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.44
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$44.89
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$711.01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.7
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+178.2%+$794.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,338Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$885.56
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,083Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+175.9%+$5,423.67
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$473.14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$247.25
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$17.55
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-84%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.05
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.01
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.12
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.58
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.86
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.38
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$22.06
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.13
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+188.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$45.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.