Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 23-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1feda73e3934a5340aaa6c7a28790776f9f91f03151881302d076cc343893654
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Yes | 0c | 7,228$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 4c | 6,595$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 57c | 5,927$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,374.79 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…3a0abacked No | 69c | 5,551$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.39 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…1b86backed Yes | 5c | 4,693$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.37 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 4c | 4,235$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.12 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 65c | 2,061$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.74 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…a85bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,601$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…5186backed Yes | 10c | 1,482$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe791…06afbacked No | 77c | 1,266$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 1,110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 10c | 999.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.45 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 15c | 905.73$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.73 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 34c | 899.99$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7be7…9700backed Yes | 34c | 847.36$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked No | 47c | 736.27$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.82 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 6c | 693$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.66 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…760dbacked Yes | 3c | 578.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…8304backed No | 67c | 561.51$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.98 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 9c | 520.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.49 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…a2babacked No | 15c | 429.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +224.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2464…44a1backed No | 80c | 396.55$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…cfe1backed No | 36c | 388.34$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.31 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 66c | 359.28$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.77 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Yes | 68c | 349.25$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.74 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…05efbacked No | 20c | 296.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.93 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 39c | 267.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.28 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 48c | 256.13$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.11 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 70c | 236.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 79c | 213.48$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 17c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 7c | 200$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cc49backed No | 80c | 197.36$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 20c | 141.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed No | 13c | 117.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 17c | 107.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf000…5667backed No | 55c | 96.94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8722…11d0backed Yes | 45c | 60.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…dcebbacked No | 19c | 56.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3a…bb1dbacked No | 27c | 56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed No | 74c | 49.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa791…c0d2backed Yes | 23c | 48.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 75c | 45.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -53%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd79a…ec83backed No | 71c | 41.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…c68ebacked Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa644…e875backed Yes | 50c | 38.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed No | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Yes | 65c | 22.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…c60dbacked Yes | 79c | 21.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…189ebacked No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 23-29?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 March 23-29?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 March 23-29?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 March 23-29?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 23-29?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 23-29?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 March 23-29?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 March 23-29?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 March 23-29?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 March 23-29?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,600 March 23-29?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 March 23-29?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,800 March 23-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.