Stocks · resolved market
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7da70ee780a123c04580f177a2cd8317813206cdd4347495facc94591ca9c7fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 30,088$22,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,152.91 | 262 | 37%97 W · 165 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 14c | 21,488$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44cf…2211backed Yes | 18c | 17,633$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 65c | 16,974$11,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.39 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…9969backed No | 53c | 12,076$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,676.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…5aacbacked Yes | 33c | 11,972$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990.38 | 1,325 | 46.9%622 W · 703 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…bedebacked No | 68c | 7,535$5,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +200.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6a74backed No | 76c | 6,683$5,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked Yes | 27c | 6,296$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.96 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…e138backed Yes | 54c | 5,305$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked Yes | 30c | 5,266$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.86 | 1,775 | 49%869 W · 906 L | +141.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 27c | 5,040$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.54 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42bc…6f2ebacked Yes | 64c | 4,505$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbd…e7d7backed Yes | 64c | 4,400$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…f251backed No | 71c | 4,200$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…1284backed No | 78c | 3,852$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeadf…26efbacked No | 43c | 3,313$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked No | 76c | 3,235$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…0dbebacked Yes | 46c | 2,670$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…ab21backed Yes | 21c | 2,092$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…17adbacked Yes | 38c | 1,973$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 24c | 1,903$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22dc…a7e8backed Yes | 33c | 1,801$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…a995backed No | 50c | 1,589$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 24c | 1,510$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 15c | 1,447$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.87 | 416 | 8.7%36 W · 380 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 37c | 1,422$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…7c7bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,203$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,109$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 48c | 1,044$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…05eabacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…0393backed No | 75c | 720$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…bef0backed No | 71c | 716.92$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 37c | 653.96$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8592…c329backed Yes | 27c | 628.18$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…a7dabacked Yes | 32c | 624.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…7971backed Yes | 50c | 595.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…c7edbacked No | 73c | 595.2$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afc…0b6fbacked Yes | 18c | 592$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 569.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 22c | 495$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 138 | 15.9%22 W · 116 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 44c | 456.25$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd25f…b448backed Yes | 57c | 450.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed Yes | 25c | 440.05$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…6785backed Yes | 35c | 431$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 24c | 426.89$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…6d1ebacked Yes | 24c | 419.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…ec38backed Yes | 25c | 408.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc7…0936backed No | 43c | 408.13$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…682fbacked Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…b716backed Yes | 27c | 381.32$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…b019backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 59c | 360.63$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.49 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 35c | 351$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.29 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…e2d7backed Yes | 41c | 344.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 30c | 327.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 274 | 29.2%80 W · 194 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…b066backed No | 71c | 298.84$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…039abacked Yes | 15c | 291.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…dc03backed Yes | 29c | 288.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…1d00backed No | 77c | 277.89$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…b329backed Yes | 48c | 274.83$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 251.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 1,443 | 8.8%127 W · 1,316 L | -53.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 25c | 251.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…f74dbacked Yes | 13c | 230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Yes | 48c | 229.19$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed Yes | 34c | 220.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed No | 71c | 220$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 19c | 215$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…2c28backed No | 78c | 207.31$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked No | 75c | 200.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +124.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd706…fac2backed No | 73c | 199.72$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6745…b791backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98c1…3d1ebacked No | 77c | 191.7$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…2440backed Yes | 55c | 181.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…9550backed No | 56c | 173.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…df81backed Yes | 44c | 168.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed Yes | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 68c | 159.37$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked No | 74c | 158.82$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…6ef9backed Yes | 28c | 157.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…0327backed No | 58c | 151.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…fe31backed No | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 30c | 148.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 75c | 145$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4a…3421backed No | 36c | 141$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 10c | 138.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked No | 44c | 136.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…4006backed No | 63c | 129.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3b…fb85backed No | 80c | 126.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…c242backed No | 28c | 126$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68b…385fbacked Yes | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…9b36backed Yes | 19c | 124.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 86 | 23.3%20 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…58a3backed Yes | 21c | 122.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…7673backed Yes | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 63 | 7.9%5 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…5f42backed No | 50c | 119.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9863…9676backed No | 28c | 118$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?this page
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in March 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in March 2026?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,800 (HIGH) in March 2026?Yes won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (HIGH) in March 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (HIGH) in March 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in March 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,500 (HIGH) in March 2026?No won
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.