TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0ac…990d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
299
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 57 out of 100; worst Macro Indicators at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+202.4%+$238.54
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $56 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.56
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.03
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $55 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$156.21
Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$15.49
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+67.3%+$29.1
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32%+$12.12
Will Silver (SI) settle over $60 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.71
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$27.2
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$96.17
Will gas hit (Low) $3.75 by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.8
Will gas hit (Low) $3.50 by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$91.97
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.8
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+162.9%+$260.22
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$194.4
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$44.76
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.02
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$171.49
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.30 Week of April 13 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+57%+$163.83
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 Week of April 13 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.39
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3941%16 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.92
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.8
Will USD fall to 1.3M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$95.17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$310.08
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+690.7%+$271.67
Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.68
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.52
Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+204.9%+$59.03
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will USD fall to 1.3M Iranian rials by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$138.75
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+218.6%+$78.71
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$53.96
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+99.3%+$59.37
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$94.14
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.14
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.93
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+84%+$34.43
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22.81
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$51.94
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$41.07
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37.8%+$12.65
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST3129%9 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$24.35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.73
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$108.77
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+50%+$16.62
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40.68
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$31.98
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$26.87
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$68.77
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+46.9%+$20.64
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+284.6%+$37
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+222.6%+$32.8
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+412.3%+$118.48
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+26.8%+$8.71
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$89.12
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$51.42
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$86.88
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$14.52
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+65%+$133.1
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+35.3%+$51.25
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.49
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.09
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix dip to $0 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.33
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 13 above $230?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$12
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of April 6 above $145?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$15.6
Will Palantir dip to $156 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$97.78
Will Palantir dip to $150 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.19
Will Microsoft dip to $375 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) close above 5000 on the final trading day of Q1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+183.4%+$98.85
Will the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) close above 5250 on the final trading day of Q1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$62.32
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit 20400 (LOW) in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.62
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $220 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $8.00 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.75
Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $144 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 23 above $159?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will Google reach $350 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.46
Will Palantir dip to $126 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will NVIDIA dip to $156 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+67.3%+$14.04
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$57.8
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+64.8%+$12.07
Will Meta (META) close at <$690 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$28.27
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.81
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.06
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$76.44
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.26
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.25
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+323.5%+$624.87
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$127.79
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$139.15
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.79
Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 78000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$778.22
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.93
Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 79000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+692.3%+$175.46
ChatGPT Outage by February 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.49
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.2
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$66.74
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+120.2%+$122.3
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.41
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29.53
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win between 150 and 199 seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$11.76
Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win 140 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$56.44
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+25.8%+$20.5
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.29
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$32.34
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$37.79
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+290.6%+$72.91
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.95
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.55
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$150.71
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+111.3%+$16.3
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.15
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+70.2%+$21.16
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+34.9%+$114.93
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$41.6
Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.26
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+152.5%+$225.04
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$69.12
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.21
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$54.81
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+264.7%+$92.65
Will there be 12-14 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+32.3%+$48.8
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$129.09
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$126.61
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.83
Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+84.8%+$30.63
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.1%+$9.19
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+90.6%+$25.08
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+189.5%+$75.34
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+34.5%+$18.56
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.17
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.04
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$15.88
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$14.27
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will "Good Luck, Have Fun, Don't Die" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+94.9%+$31.65
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$68.43
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+41.7%+$27.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+50.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+59%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt vs. Nigeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+83.4%+$27.46
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$31.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Necaxa vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+113.7%+$16.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.