Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Heerenveen vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04d853889ff0208a402c0f676326d2e1d439d2db6b717c6b1656473a68f00c44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 28c | 9,155$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.32 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 5,817$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.9 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 3,065$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.9 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 28c | 2,030$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.36 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 64c | 1,369$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.4 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 27c | 1,229$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.8 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 33c | 894.35$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.97 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 74c | 813.72$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.72 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 744.52$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.41 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 719.92$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.06 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 72c | 700$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 72c | 683.29$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.32 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed No | 76c | 570$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 31c | 568$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.08 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 27c | 551.7$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 72c | 551$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 73c | 544.4$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 38c | 428$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.64 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 412.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 302.36$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 66c | 298.48$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 27c | 257.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 210.37$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 71c | 197.37$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c30…7320backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 125.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 28c | 67.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 60.44$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 73c | 57.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…7e29backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…4216backed Yes | 29c | 43.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920c…25b6backed Yes | 35c | 41.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 73c | 34.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 72c | 34.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 72c | 29.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 71c | 26.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked No | 72c | 16.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed No | 77c | 16.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Heerenveen vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-01-18?Yes won
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.