Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x225a589d96ffdbee233b5f096cedec90ff1f44d11896b653721451da1373027c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 23,528$17,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,440.34 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 17,877$4,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,228.98 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked No | 0c | 8,177$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 6,906$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,098.98 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 5,193$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.58 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 4,360$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 3,784$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.69 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 3,545$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.66 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 3,050$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.5 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 34c | 2,422$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.58 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.98 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked No | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed No | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 11c | 1,140$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.76 | 115 | 20.9%24 W · 91 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 66c | 1,074$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.26 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 75c | 961.69$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.2 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 27c | 601.07$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.38 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed No | 35c | 578.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 26c | 576.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.93 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 570.44$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 34c | 484.47$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 424.55$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.63 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 26c | 423.4$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 77c | 310$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 33c | 295.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 24c | 280.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 34c | 242.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed No | 34c | 242.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 9c | 235.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 57c | 234.29$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.91 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 34c | 213.35$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…8b83backed No | 34c | 197.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked No | 34c | 193.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 67c | 193.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 191.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 26c | 161.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.54 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 10c | 105.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 63c | 105.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 44c | 95.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 29c | 94.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…3d22backed No | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 27c | 86.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f93…dd62backed No | 76c | 76.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed No | 75c | 73.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed No | 34c | 72.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed No | 36c | 70.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 29c | 65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 76c | 62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed Yes | 64c | 59.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked No | 34c | 48.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 72c | 43.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6852…0a89backed Yes | 28c | 43.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f4…3c57backed Yes | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 74c | 37.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 69c | 31.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb07…3043backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 39c | 28.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 45c | 28.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…fbe5backed Yes | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes | 67c | 17.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will SC Heerenveen vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.