South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dbd17c2477dd9dc16bbf5d09f8bc33c56ebd32802002c236d43cee62ae820e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 47c | 14,598$6,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,737.18 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 2,345$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.39 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 15c | 1,192$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.78 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 985.14$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.42 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 864.96$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 755.25$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.68 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 49c | 643.99$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.81 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 58c | 506.69$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.88 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 53c | 467.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 466$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.19 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 42c | 392.81$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 51c | 368.71$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.35 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 51c | 328.82$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920c…25b6backed Yes | 62c | 308.6$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 50c | 302.48$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 51c | 249.96$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 48c | 224$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 11c | 217.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c30…7320backed Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 41c | 145.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 31c | 145.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 13c | 114.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 46c | 108$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…2b11backed Yes | 53c | 95.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 40c | 83.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 52c | 73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 32c | 69.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 21c | 59.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Yes | 23c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 58.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked No | 47c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Yes | 58c | 50.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 33c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 48c | 43.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 51c | 35.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 53c | 33.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Yes | 63c | 31.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Yes | 35c | 28.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked No | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Yes | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35df…84d2backed Yes | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed No | 48c | 23.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked No | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 59cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 52c | 21.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes won
- Will Club Necaxa vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.