South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bd8f024d1c98492da1e2cee87c1d8070e27b6cdc37552b8485cb3287807e13e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 38c | 15,609$5,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,931.48 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 5,203$2,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 33c | 5,077$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.78 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 33c | 4,773$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.5 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 64c | 4,136$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.95 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 24c | 3,050$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 33c | 2,206$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.05 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 76c | 1,538$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.55 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,035$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.9 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 998.72$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 80c | 852$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.6 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 68c | 813.01$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.17 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 21c | 671$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.21 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 42c | 662.56$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.02 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 20c | 643.23$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.54 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 627.54$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.72 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 21c | 619.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.63 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 75c | 531.84$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 32c | 379$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.87 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 67c | 367$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.11 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 58c | 330.07$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 76c | 305.67$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.31 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 25c | 279.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.41 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 270.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.99 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…3fbdbacked Yes | 19c | 221.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 40c | 198.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed No | 36c | 166.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c30…7320backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed No | 79c | 146.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 17c | 123$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 10c | 122$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…c7f3backed No | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27e6…3363backed Yes | 61c | 108.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 77c | 100.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 77c | 94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Yes | 23c | 89.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 42c | 86.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Yes | 70c | 85.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 37c | 79.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 79.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 45c | 76.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 28c | 69.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 56.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed No | 78c | 49.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 46c | 35.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc18…637abacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 34.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 79c | 31.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 78c | 30.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked No | 52c | 28.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 63cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f83…94cabacked Yes | 71c | 16.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 13.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Club Necaxa vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.