Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dd2b73cb46ff5289b678dae9a80c99577d4d5384d89f2e47a64e335cdada881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $694,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $619,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed Yes | 13c | 226,063$29,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,388.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Yes | 35c | 22,136$7,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,831.75 | 212 | 13.2%28 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes | 4c | 20,916$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.53 | 78 | 15.4%12 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 2c | 20,629$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.38 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 9c | 11,689$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.45 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…229ebacked Yes | 3c | 10,209$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.03 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf640…bc3ebacked Yes | 26c | 9,755$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.95 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da1…964dbacked Yes | 36c | 9,332$3,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,372.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…a942backed No | 55c | 7,719$4,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,435.12 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes | 23c | 6,938$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.94 | 186 | 18.3%34 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…b4c7backed Yes | 3c | 6,648$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.91 | 124 | 29.8%37 W · 87 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 23c | 6,173$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.35 | 1,780 | 7.4%132 W · 1,648 L | -23.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 14c | 5,000$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.99 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…4967backed No | 62c | 4,753$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.2 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…1f12backed Yes | 22c | 4,582$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,480$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed Yes | 16c | 4,099$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.71 | 751 | 22.2%167 W · 584 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa0…3308backed Yes | 9c | 3,968$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 21c | 3,811$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.34 | 227 | 18.5%42 W · 185 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 75c | 3,609$2,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.01 | 169 | 69.2%117 W · 52 L | +17.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…bedebacked Yes | 11c | 3,200$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +42%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eae…bd51backed Yes | 44c | 3,036$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 69c | 3,035$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.8 | 542 | 74.9%406 W · 136 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…6d4cbacked Yes | 34c | 2,926$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 33c | 2,621$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.94 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0575…4c16backed Yes | 16c | 2,246$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.5 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2,160 | 3.9%85 W · 2,075 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…8ca3backed Yes | 41c | 2,163$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.78 | 187 | 22.5%42 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a82…c2c1backed Yes | 30c | 2,156$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.77 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed Yes | 2c | 2,127$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 416 | 5.3%22 W · 394 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +158.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes | 12c | 2,050$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 486 | 9.7%47 W · 439 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 7c | 2,047$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 1,190 | 8.7%104 W · 1,086 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13f…c8b4backed Yes | 17c | 2,030$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.31 | 158 | 19%30 W · 128 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…2f27backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 241 | 15.4%37 W · 204 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 154 | 13%20 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…0dd2backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.36 | 150 | 17.3%26 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee0…5447backed Yes | 50c | 1,985$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.58 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…55cabacked No | 78c | 1,892$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.2 | 117 | 30.8%36 W · 81 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…7c3bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,796$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…46e1backed Yes | 32c | 1,783$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…7311backed Yes | 22c | 1,757$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.49 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 32c | 1,691$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.28 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe22b…1501backed Yes | 46c | 1,675$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.69 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…1662backed Yes | 45c | 1,674$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.87 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 21c | 1,673$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.49 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,650$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.63 | 592 | 25.3%150 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8b…9eb6backed Yes | 9c | 1,500$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474c…37d3backed No | 67c | 1,500$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.87 | 410 | 17.8%73 W · 337 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…5d81backed Yes | 10c | 1,440$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fb…edf2backed No | 62c | 1,429$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.77 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x423a…ec7cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,419$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.44 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…487fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,413$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 280 | 16.4%46 W · 234 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589b…d847backed No | 71c | 1,400$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,400$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 285 | 9.1%26 W · 259 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,394$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b67…60aabacked Yes | 42c | 1,283$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.99 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 33c | 1,278$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.26 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 39c | 1,232$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.52 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…48c7backed Yes | 29c | 1,193$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.16 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…cb14backed Yes | 2c | 1,181$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +196.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 18c | 1,150$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.9 | 1,040 | 13.7%142 W · 898 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…5ceabacked No | 67c | 1,113$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.42 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…6411backed Yes | 36c | 1,100$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.74 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…4485backed Yes | 19c | 1,100$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 342 | 15.8%54 W · 288 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…b3c1backed Yes | 14c | 1,070$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…6c48backed Yes | 10c | 1,025$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 71c | 1,008$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.17 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 797 | 11.3%90 W · 707 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 388 | 11.9%46 W · 342 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes | 18c | 999.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 250 | 23.2%58 W · 192 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…59a1backed No | 66c | 999.94$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.98 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7e87backed Yes | 33c | 999.45$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.14 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf321…2ae8backed Yes | 18c | 972.08$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…ebdebacked Yes | 15c | 925$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…a429backed No | 79c | 900$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.94 | 317 | 22.4%71 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed Yes | 12c | 900$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 212 | 15.1%32 W · 180 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe5…636cbacked Yes | 31c | 894.66$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.14 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…c7bbbacked Yes | 33c | 890$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.9 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 76c | 869.61$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 9c | 860$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 31c | 851.79$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.61 | 292 | 25%73 W · 219 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…ae26backed Yes | 26c | 813.27$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.83 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…ff7bbacked Yes | 14c | 791.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.14 | 73 | 16.4%12 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf37…2454backed No | 66c | 769.8$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 73c | 767.77$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.32 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…c3a8backed Yes | 35c | 749.98$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.99 | 174 | 34.5%60 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed Yes | 13c | 742.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9408…9cb2backed Yes | 12c | 732.91$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.86 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed No | 79c | 732.01$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.52 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 67c | 717.1$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.12 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d7…2305backed Yes | 15c | 699.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 184 | 24.5%45 W · 139 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 9c | 699.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6c…0b29backed Yes | 12c | 699.93$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 21c | 667.46$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.25 | 879 | 17.2%151 W · 728 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 664.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 434 | 5.1%22 W · 412 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Yes | 39c | 660.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.79 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked No | 62c | 656.61$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.55 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d4…6abbbacked Yes | 28c | 621.25$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.