Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4db09d047f1f6d7465d7193f48856445965f9354f126ede40a16a7b465836b4c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $390,984
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $331,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,984 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes	0c	49,279$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.13	87	19.5%17 W · 70 L	+5.9wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	24,105$1,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,013.76	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	0c	18,000$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d7…45f2backed Yes	6c	15,213$909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$908.75	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	+57.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11d3…ce3fbacked Yes	0c	10,317$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.45	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	36c	9,795$3,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,477.88	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes	1c	9,049$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.41	227	18.5%42 W · 185 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…1c22backed Yes	1c	6,000$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	59	5.1%3 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	5,230$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.57	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes	5c	5,096$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.57	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	16c	4,405$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.93	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	1c	4,000$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	138	9.4%13 W · 125 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	7c	3,794$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.3	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eae…bd51backed Yes	9c	3,764$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.74	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa713…4485backed Yes	8c	3,650$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.9	342	15.8%54 W · 288 L	+20.9wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	1c	3,332$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.01	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	0c	3,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	1c	2,960$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac64…0dd2backed Yes	31c	2,950$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$906.49	150	17.3%26 W · 124 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b4…055ebacked Yes	15c	2,682$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.61	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x423a…ec7cbacked Yes	9c	2,485$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	71	23.9%17 W · 54 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	39c	2,446$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$948.94	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ee…6d4cbacked Yes	40c	2,225$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880.99	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	17c	2,168$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.67	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe130…2f27backed Yes	31c	1,938$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.75	241	15.4%37 W · 204 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa568…b810backed Yes	3c	1,811$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.89	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0b…7341backed Yes	23c	1,809$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.96	340	8.2%28 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10c…6d2cbacked Yes	40c	1,795$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.66	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca9c…7311backed Yes	4c	1,757$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.69	71	16.9%12 W · 59 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204b…8ca3backed Yes	5c	1,700$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.3	187	22.5%42 W · 145 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	4c	1,650$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.82	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,616$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	14c	1,599$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.22	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes	16c	1,423$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.92	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	20c	1,400$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.99	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,388$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.61	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9480…5674backed Yes	5c	1,351$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.68	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ca…3f6ebacked Yes	40c	1,239$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.03	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	73c	1,216$888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.86	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x771d…b0ffbacked Yes	32c	1,200$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.99	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	1,110$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.3	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x226a…6411backed Yes	35c	1,102$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.96	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+48.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	2c	1,090$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.17	434	5.1%22 W · 412 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x744f…d927backed Yes	38c	1,053$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d7…2305backed Yes	1c	1,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	184	24.5%45 W · 139 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac28…0d06backed Yes	2c	999.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	93	7.5%7 W · 86 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9278…8a12backed Yes	10c	985.94$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	46	19.6%9 W · 37 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b28…5b76backed Yes	14c	925.76$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.9	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91c5…c7bbbacked Yes	36c	890$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.35	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	12c	862.28$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.19	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed Yes	12c	861.82$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.23	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0fe…234bbacked Yes	30c	850.58$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.33	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	12c	804.69$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd661…0d4ebacked No	72c	789.95$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.39	140	50%70 W · 70 L	+8.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f92…5c90backed Yes	22c	745.52$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.89	77	9.1%7 W · 70 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd33…f47ebacked Yes	9c	744$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	177	20.9%37 W · 140 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61dc…673dbacked Yes	3c	733$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+44.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed Yes	7c	708.33$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed Yes	8c	661$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.88	89	23.6%21 W · 68 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…46e1backed Yes	35c	639.98$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.99	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	29cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4101…48ffbacked Yes	2c	633.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf330…aec1backed Yes	6c	629.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6396…7e87backed Yes	25c	594.05$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.21	43	14%6 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes	13c	573.38$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.4	334	15.6%52 W · 282 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca2…feb2backed No	65c	543.47$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.63	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34bf…26e7backed No	66c	541.23$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.59	79	39.2%31 W · 48 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes	26c	539.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.4	360	18.6%67 W · 293 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x102d…c9afbacked Yes	9c	519.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.4	77	13%10 W · 67 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes	12c	499.98$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	146	25.3%37 W · 109 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Yes	5c	497.45$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.09	74	9.5%7 W · 67 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…bb21backed Yes	13c	458.9$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fb…c29bbacked No	64c	458.6$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.83	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	68cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1abc…2093backed Yes	13c	447.48$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.55	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	9c	443.33$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.9	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56fb…d610backed Yes	33c	400$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	58	17.2%10 W · 48 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+41%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f7…b675backed Yes	39c	399.99$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.99	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+79%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c2e…5e69backed Yes	3c	390.02$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	431	26.2%113 W · 318 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3a50…9216backed Yes	5c	350$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e8…1c09backed Yes	33c	333.6$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc35a…b9f2backed Yes	5c	330$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.04	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebad…f22bbacked Yes	29c	319.97$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.79	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5331…69d8backed No	70c	314.01$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.2	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+132.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	68c	308.9$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.46	315	65.1%205 W · 110 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0633…d517backed Yes	10c	303.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f40…f202backed No	74c	301.49$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.35	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+69.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	12c	300$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe7…4362backed Yes	38c	300$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	90	15.6%14 W · 76 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9484…a173backed Yes	31c	300$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.5	400	16.8%67 W · 333 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	35c	299.99$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94de…0847backed Yes	12c	291.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x254b…6c7bbacked Yes	14c	291.47$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.4	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6b…5263backed Yes	31c	288.24$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	40	12.5%5 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd789…08e7backed Yes	13c	281.42$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.98	37	13.5%5 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	71c	274$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.33	261	67%175 W · 86 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf97c…5cbabacked Yes	37c	270.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+69.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdf7…50fabacked No	65c	267.65$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.56	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+48.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No	72c	262.92$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.51	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc879…e355backed Yes	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…b01ebacked Yes	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event