TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2bc8…b4da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
493
Categories scored
32
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 58 out of 100; worst Serie A at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT14625.3%37 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 146 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.02
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$41.8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.08
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$156
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+121.9%+$291.1
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.98
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$232
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+135.6%+$51.8
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.1
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.88
Showing 25 of 146 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6232.3%20 W · 42 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.95
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$162
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$240
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$214
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$279
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$710
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+192.2%+$295.97
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,130.28
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+294.7%+$448
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.98
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$264.46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$88
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$16.85
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$298
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.99
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.63
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$72
Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+914.5%+$252.4
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$53.36
Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.68
Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+954.5%+$262.5
Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+196.6%+$46.39
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+300%+$59.99
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$56.99
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.8
Will CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.65
Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.17
CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$27.8
São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4551.1%23 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luan Santana attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.67
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$142.5
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$254
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,161
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$38.35
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$550
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.78
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$267
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+196.9%+$693.91
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$155
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$127.5
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$134
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$528.24
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$79
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$285
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$132.97
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-49%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.85
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.99
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.36
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$58
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$72.4
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.17
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+34.1%+$20.32
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,246.69
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37.6%+$710.17
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+72.9%+$772.33
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$45.95
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$34.8
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+159.4%+$27.65
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.75
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$292
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$368
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$159
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$716Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$184.3
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$83.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$100.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$89
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$81
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+147.7%+$477
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,247Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$353
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$245.1
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+32.1%+$223.11
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+73.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$96
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$21.1
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.99
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.33
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+54%+$98.2
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+89.5%+$675.44
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+598.5%+$1,186.17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$558Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+204.7%+$1,141.99
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+717.6%+$1,711.5
Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.9
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$31.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$560
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+34.1%+$256.78
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.1
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
SK Slavia Praha vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$136.4
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+244.8%+$28.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$46.7
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$192
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$195.39
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.45
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$586.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$395.79
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$40.3
Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$34.45
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37%+$8.1
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$76.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+42.8%+$56.08
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,056.93
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,874Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.6%+$1,166.89
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$328.06
Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$645.09
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$461
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,442Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+31%+$756.97
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$45.6
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-54.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$15.82
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$342.2
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.18
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,875Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.6%+$930.25
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$273.76
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$41.04
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+27.9%+$123.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-72.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$232
Will SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$390
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$648.31
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$270
Will Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$24.94
Will Pisa SC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,853Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,852.51
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$117.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon State Beavers vs. Seattle Redhawksbacked Oregon State Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.54
Yale Bulldogs vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
LSU Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$42
New Mexico Lobos vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,392Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$439.82
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+54.3%+$393.4
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthersbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$67.87
Montana State Bobcats vs. Idaho Vandalsbacked Montana State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+300.8%+$45.03
All 8 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$914.95
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.7
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+77.9%+$33.71
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$595.43
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+193.8%+$119.34
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$122.2
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$697Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+30.6%+$213.57
All 7 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-64.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-62.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+234.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.