South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90b6f8eb6eff33acb1d932cd78fd68fb100653b5e4a4c0d69eb94aa338d1e5a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20b8…aa04backed No | 77c | 30,062$23,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,974.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 20c | 11,324$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.04 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 6,650$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.87 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 5,765$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.27 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Yes | 6c | 5,056$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.06 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 74c | 5,000$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.96 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2a77backed Yes | 16c | 4,435$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 3,894$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.55 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Yes | 6c | 2,034$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 15c | 1,628$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.14 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 14c | 1,568$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.51 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 24c | 1,388$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.88 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,286$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 18c | 1,163$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.76 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…2d5bbacked No | 78c | 1,059$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 19c | 900$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 797.48$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.95 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Yes | 3c | 741.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 31c | 728$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.57 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 727.17$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.47 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…4500backed No | 74c | 672.97$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 20c | 621.19$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.16 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 567.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 534.52$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.39 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 26c | 485.58$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Yes | 20c | 458.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.66 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 16c | 413.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…affdbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 383.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…408bbacked Yes | 25c | 380$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 74c | 347.35$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 11c | 340.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 5c | 327.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 312.83$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d22…2bafbacked Yes | 23c | 306.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 14c | 300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 296.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…7217backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…0178backed Yes | 7c | 275.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +246.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 14c | 259.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 75c | 230.3$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 22c | 213.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eea…8896backed Yes | 25c | 207.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…c667backed Yes | 15c | 198.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 72c | 196.84$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 172.38$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…22ebbacked Yes | 29c | 171.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 74c | 164.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…4eb1backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 69c | 156$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 12c | 153$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 73c | 141$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 74c | 139.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Yes | 26c | 133.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 16c | 131.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 22c | 127.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 126.75$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…892fbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…eefdbacked Yes | 34c | 117.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 22c | 108.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 95.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 22c | 94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 21c | 92.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…449cbacked Yes | 31c | 92.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d05…57ffbacked Yes | 25c | 91.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 31c | 91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…b696backed Yes | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b9…f9ebbacked Yes | 26c | 84.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…c173backed Yes | 25c | 80.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77b…9bbcbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 67.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 69c | 55.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 74c | 48.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 25c | 46.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…fd81backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 75c | 40.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…759bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…030cbacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 73c | 25.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…f069backed No | 74c | 20.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will CSyD Macará vs. Santos FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.