TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-08-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$350,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$361,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ad7…42aabacked Yes47c141,794$67,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,268.182948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a7…4a1dbacked No55c58,139$31,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,343.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes46c29,463$13,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,592.41040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No53c27,298$14,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,952.762,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No52c21,576$11,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,356.6719952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked No54c18,747$10,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,623.766944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No52c9,539$4,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,559.111,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No59c9,513$5,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,870.462,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x995f…be04backed No52c9,080$4,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,358.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No55c6,440$3,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8981127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No52c6,415$3,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,093.318153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Yes45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7006546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7007244.4%32 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c5,946$3,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,809.353,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c5,703$2,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.498,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No52c5,569$2,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,673.121,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No57c5,490$3,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.672759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No53c5,034$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,375.6457540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Yes45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c4,483$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.041,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes45c4,342$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.7217049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes47c4,212$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.1838233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No53c4,022$2,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.721,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…b67dbacked Yes45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes46c3,683$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.4128940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No58c3,107$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.3566837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes34c3,088$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.815,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked No52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes4c2,665$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0421938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9911855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No53c2,300$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0846243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed No53c2,163$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.382161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No50c2,148$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.2126835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes46c2,100$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9665133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes3c2,090$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7582434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Yes45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004431.8%14 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No53c1,800$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84651750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No59c1,754$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.1419742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Yes49c1,571$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.652937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6453652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes40c1,389$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.437950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes44c1,301$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.311,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked No49c1,250$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.396526.2%17 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed No55c1,249$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.793938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No53c1,125$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.924852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No53c1,045$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.011435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Yes47c1,027$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.793148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43010426.9%28 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes44c999.99$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.51,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes3c868$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.249710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdccf…faeabacked No60c821.67$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No52c818.5$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8814540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No57c796.97$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.351,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked No53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.721361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x811a…9a3cbacked Yes49c726.45$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.9640%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No56c680$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.22347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes37c665.16$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8355946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5767…490ebacked No51c594.56$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.29966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b49…d827backed No49c588.63$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Yes11c555$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.052934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes39c548.5$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.364847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No53c534.84$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.984753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No53c523.56$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9778756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked No53c514.91$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.96887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+52.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No58c502$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.8412754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed No52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2056550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0146…4d51backed No53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2352100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Yes47c495.5$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.785757.9%33 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No58c478$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.251,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No58c454.14$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.882,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…236dbacked No52c452$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.964100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No58c416.39$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.726759.7%40 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No52c377.62$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7416449.4%81 W · 83 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes45c367$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.151,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed No55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes45c356.71$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.727748.1%37 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No59c355.9$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5731136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No51c347.35$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes47c318$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6872058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed No54c310$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13541654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd08b…b74cbacked No59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes32c258.93$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5942946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes47c248.64$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11619543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No53c248$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5630754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No53c245.42$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8745253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes46c235$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.449535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed No57c232$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.792948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed No59c231.98$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9714943%64 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes46c229.98$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5710352.4%54 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No54c228.67$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.367856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x391b…cf3ebacked Yes47c212.57$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeff8…408bbacked Yes45c210$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes48c208.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9929037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes51c202.02$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.031,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No54c200.09$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4724535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6739…132cbacked No50c200.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.