Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0737c019014e104e617eed2f62c5acd7ba91a70900f0f7d75eea0b88409a0ef7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 4,172$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.78 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 1,296$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.78 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…ab44backed Yes | 79c | 759.7$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 55c | 527.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.55 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 25c | 460.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 445.93$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.53 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 17c | 433.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 407.41$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.41 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 15c | 303.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…24a9backed Yes | 66c | 151.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed No | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Yes | 59c | 108.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Yes | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x632f…9e6ebacked Yes | 32c | 77.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 32c | 72.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed No | 18c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 28c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 41c | 33.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed No | 72c | 27.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 46c | 23.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 15.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.