Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85623245a0e66e1c2eaf65c9ac9ccd4c78eeade86924756a03b6363b90d3a7ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed No | 66c | 26,945$17,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,209.85 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 25c | 16,627$4,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,156.65 | 181 | 54.1%98 W · 83 L | +19.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 33c | 10,098$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.97 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 34c | 6,410$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211.2 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 6,386$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.77 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 5,977$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.92 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 66c | 1,539$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.24 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,017$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.08 | 1,796 | 50.2%902 W · 894 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 27c | 963.39$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.95 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 663.18$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.19 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 29c | 517.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 34c | 440.05$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 32c | 356$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 34c | 291.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 76c | 263.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 34c | 256.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 21c | 246.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 211$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 538 | 48.9%263 W · 275 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 210$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Yes | 34c | 167.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 22c | 148.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 1,116 | 41.6%464 W · 652 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd312…9c31backed Yes | 34c | 144.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked No | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Yes | 34c | 84.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 65c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked No | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 21c | 71.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 67c | 69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 16c | 67.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 78c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 65c | 64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…d882backed Yes | 32c | 63.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 62.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 854 | 47.9%409 W · 445 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 65c | 61.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Yes | 34c | 59.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Yes | 34c | 58.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ca…58b4backed Yes | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Yes | 34c | 51.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 72c | 41.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 33c | 40.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 27c | 37.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8802…91d6backed No | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked Yes | 34c | 29.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…3f2dbacked No | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.