TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under39c21,085$8,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,825.1858248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over74c6,300$4,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6921250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc83d…b116backed Over77c6,276$4,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,832.7120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over42c5,396$2,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.048056.3%45 W · 35 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0748…a31ebacked Under59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Over78c3,865$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa94f…1643backed Under23c3,665$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over38c3,422$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.364365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c2,928$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.741,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe44…c279backed Under23c2,614$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over40c2,075$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.3459136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over75c1,992$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004060%24 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c1,860$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.031,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c70…e068backed Over75c1,766$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under23c1,500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.9924327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under61c1,435$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.5346048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over78c1,390$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.573050%15 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Over77c1,299$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eca…576bbacked Over79c1,204$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick79cpaid-57.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Over78c1,025$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.593256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under22c999.99$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.997631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over78c935.49$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73010465.4%68 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9269…9abfbacked Over67c914.73$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.04475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Over77c863$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.517259.7%43 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under21c751.19$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.4623947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over77c741.6$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.0339746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under23c734.7$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.7238748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over47c699.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Under22c645$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.11741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Over78c600$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over37c600$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2208650%43 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34212242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under63c550$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.521938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over30c516.74$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.921540%6 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over79c506.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over69c457.01$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.994427.3%12 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-51.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under39c437.07$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1341238.8%160 W · 252 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e28…c195backed Under23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.78560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+118.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over69c424.43$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.663565.7%23 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over26c405.98$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0529142.3%123 W · 168 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over72c400$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2882766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Over65c383.2$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2494955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over75c365.33$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2742835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Over56c350$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1963655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over50c350$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.083935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over78c333.67$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.096864.7%44 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over47c310$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.32254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over79c304.09$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick65cpaid-49.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x92fa…7d02backed Over38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf40a…5899backed Under36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda5e…d237backed Over33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over78c287.32$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.111060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over78c257$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.738043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010566.7%70 W · 35 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Over78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006852.9%36 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed Over78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-60.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over78c247.64$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.166858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Over80c241.61$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.423754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89ed…42f5backed Under47c231.91$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+131.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972f…0b99backed Over78c229.29$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Under62c209.1$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under54c205.73$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6733851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Over67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1345646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cb7…7a94backed Over78c200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1565349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Over78c181.13$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.28742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick76cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over48c179$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.925322.6%12 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc126…26c6backed Over39c169.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.31533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-42.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ed1…efcbbacked Under61c163.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc57d…3eeebacked Over77c156.49$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6d…b3febacked Over27c154.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.55333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+203%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c145.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.859441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed Under72c139.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.31457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under62c133.87$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.871752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004761.7%29 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7982…86c4backed Over69c129.42$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.32657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over78c128.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d58…bd3cbacked Over78c123.22$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick75cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8621…ed54backed Over77c122.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over79c103.8$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829556.8%54 W · 41 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ab…cf5abacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+52.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c0…1158backed Over67c101.34$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…c7a6backed Over78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d60…50dbbacked Over77c97.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754057.5%23 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019455.7%108 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x291b…b19cbacked Over78c91.53$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.39540%2 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick72cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under38c87.61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6322356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Over77c80$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c42…6c9dbacked Over75c80$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-46.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b89…3380backed Over41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over78c67.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.285058%29 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over58c65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8815438.3%59 W · 95 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over61c64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.828252.4%43 W · 39 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over79c63.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016553.3%88 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x147a…ca83backed Under24c62.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under66c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.610658.5%62 W · 44 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.