Champions League · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9916e84bec403bb1786010f5f9d2a77e48ce1494081ed1f152f2b4dd439481b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $396,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $395,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 65c | 156,868$101,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,424.01 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 32c | 61,863$19,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,755.77 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Under | 64c | 53,013$33,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,084.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 65c | 33,940$21,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,018.44 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 28,414$9,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,906.57 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Over | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +10.6wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 33c | 18,301$6,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,052.04 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 36c | 15,392$5,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,487.26 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Over | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f4…2dffbacked Over | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 35c | 6,902$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.7 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 35c | 6,686$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Over | 36c | 6,547$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 35c | 5,870$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.64 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 36c | 5,019$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.81 | 594 | 41.8%248 W · 346 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 36c | 4,878$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.19 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 64c | 4,797$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.91 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 36c | 3,615$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.4 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…f656backed Under | 64c | 2,917$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…3c25backed Under | 64c | 2,915$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed2…6f50backed Over | 36c | 2,904$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…1277backed Over | 36c | 2,890$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28eb…c429backed Over | 37c | 2,324$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa217…ab47backed Under | 64c | 2,073$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…9433backed Over | 36c | 2,058$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Over | 37c | 1,843$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 64c | 1,838$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.65 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1f…278fbacked Under | 64c | 1,776$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c02…7cf6backed Over | 36c | 1,761$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over | 36c | 1,642$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf30…3ccfbacked Over | 36c | 1,449$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…c9adbacked Under | 64c | 1,381$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 37c | 1,356$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.69 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 36c | 1,253$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.05 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec8…2effbacked Over | 28c | 1,223$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 35c | 1,208$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.56 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…36a0backed Over | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 36c | 992.26$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.22 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 36c | 921.31$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.97 | 154 | 38.3%59 W · 95 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…535abacked Under | 65c | 895.38$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 35c | 830.66$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.06 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 63c | 795$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.15 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…2f0ebacked Over | 35c | 769.23$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.23 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Under | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 35c | 746.97$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.44 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 36c | 706.33$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.04 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 64c | 624$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Over | 35c | 620$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 65c | 612.45$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.34 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over | 36c | 599.82$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.94 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Over | 35c | 568.58$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…7efabacked Over | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 61c | 542.45$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.03 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 35c | 515$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 29c | 486.21$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 37c | 468.19$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.12 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…2157backed Under | 65c | 451.34$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 64c | 433.97$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.04 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 36c | 420$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 36c | 420$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 36c | 420$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 31c | 418.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…f81abacked Over | 36c | 412.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…c800backed Over | 37c | 389.84$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Over | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…27aebacked Over | 36c | 375$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 35c | 348.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.48 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…6c77backed Under | 65c | 347.33$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 35c | 330.44$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 36c | 330$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 36c | 328.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.31 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c8…2564backed Over | 38c | 313.28$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.05 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc328…d945backed Over | 36c | 313.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 64c | 312$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…26c6backed Over | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 35c | 292.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…b622backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…395abacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 78c | 267.86$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)RU Saint-Gilloise won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.