TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Under44c125,995$54,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,179.052475%18 W · 6 L+6.3wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over56c32,505$18,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,257.9438043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c17,564$8,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,710.131,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over48c13,878$6,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,658.1358248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Over57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.971643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over57c9,158$5,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,219.913151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c6,803$3,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,572.191,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under44c6,715$2,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,777.188258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over57c6,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4205350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over58c3,499$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.545248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40020644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over59c2,035$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.654365.1%28 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over56c2,018$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.0829350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1605745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over61c1,900$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.334461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over59c1,870$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004060%24 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under43c1,771$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.9838748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over58c1,737$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003764.9%24 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8edf…7eadbacked Over59c1,651$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.241050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Over57c1,399$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.433938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over56c1,381$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.4759441.8%248 W · 346 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under39c1,315$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.274351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under49c1,026$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.652133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over57c1,005$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.756253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5803050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over49c860.27$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.6720947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over55c835$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.2528543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6183…575fbacked Over48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over57c829.97$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.626852.9%36 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over48c813.97$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3902330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked Over57c805$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over51c801$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.889547.4%45 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45614447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ac…d211backed Under44c795.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over56c773.05$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.912740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under43c720.96$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.75322.6%12 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid+34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c57…f939backed Over58c717.6$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over58c685$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.35066%33 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over57c682.8$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.1910748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Over56c625$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under61c574.91$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.4638343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over44c566$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6659136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over57c537$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.0916144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under43c536.42$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.224759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+60.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27521037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804766%31 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Over57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2853961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2802552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over57c491.01$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.889445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over57c490.92$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.823946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d37…5b73backed Under47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under40c413.83$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.323947.7%114 W · 125 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22414645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22844955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over58c396.55$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7fd1…62b0backed Over33c390$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Over56c387.5$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2173647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over57c372.27$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1939746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010566.7%70 W · 35 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Under45c335$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.252236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over56c322.93$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over58c309.77$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4133851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc126…26c6backed Over18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-42.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17128357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17113552.6%71 W · 64 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1713243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Over18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-56.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under41c300$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17711152.3%58 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over57c280$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.613453.7%72 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Over58c257.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over51c254.07$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.721643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504100%4 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+159.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.546956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over56c244.01$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.913935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dcb…c800backed Over59c237.86$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.341030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under78c211.71$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.715042%21 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa46…2b1abacked Under71c204.23$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11418350.3%92 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1148454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11425659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11418754.5%102 W · 85 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1146246.8%29 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under43c199.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11413931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over57c190$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.313252.3%69 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d56…4a65backed Over56c180.36$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.85152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over57c179.96$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.581844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa75…db29backed Over58c172.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68b…7503backed Under42c172.59$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.