Champions League · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60745a54693690d4bf3510c9efe762de4a26e9d97068408b3ca6ff2163b68f5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 2,192$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.92 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 35c | 947.45$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.98 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed No | 79c | 901.2$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.7 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 48c | 763$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.97 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 47c | 585.11$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 17c | 566$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…113dbacked No | 53c | 458.41$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5e…d237backed Yes | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed No | 72c | 269.35$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 46c | 267.52$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.06 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 52c | 241.95$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.14 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 70c | 225.91$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4f…6dbbbacked No | 54c | 217.37$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 48c | 216.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…c800backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 18c | 180$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…4be7backed No | 53c | 179.81$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 47c | 163.55$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…f3b2backed No | 54c | 163.48$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277f…d41bbacked No | 53c | 140.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…0a44backed No | 53c | 135.84$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba1…ac85backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 123.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 48c | 116.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…0503backed No | 53c | 109.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 23c | 104.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…815cbacked No | 53c | 94.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…342dbacked Yes | 48c | 83.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 24c | 83.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebd…81ddbacked Yes | 48c | 81.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Yes | 43c | 77.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 54c | 74.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 53c | 71.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0af…b000backed No | 53c | 71.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0c…a3e0backed No | 54c | 66.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x723b…876fbacked No | 53c | 61.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked No | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36ac…9d50backed No | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed No | 54c | 50.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Yes | 48c | 47.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 54c | 46.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0375…dd78backed No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…14f0backed Yes | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 53c | 39.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed Yes | 76c | 39.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed No | 52c | 38.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…3ef9backed Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 46c | 32.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 39c | 30.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed No | 54c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa345…4f54backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…1008backed No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yes | 48c | 27.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Yes | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Yes | 48c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d57…9730backed No | 53c | 20.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)RU Saint-Gilloise won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.