Champions League · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5857c09a87764b6d8d92631694a8b30ef7c058dc5ae62631a420452dfb195e57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 12c | 14,766$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.84 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 19c | 10,872$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.28 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 18c | 2,471$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.7 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 66c | 2,428$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.6 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 8c | 1,564$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…e300backed Over | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 69c | 975.04$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.26 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…4c36backed Over | 68c | 900.79$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4645…f60fbacked Under | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 68c | 565.04$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.81 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 66c | 421.21$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.21 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…891bbacked Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 202 | 56.9%115 W · 87 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 7c | 204.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 68c | 172.4$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +8.1wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Under | 25c | 148.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…dc4cbacked Over | 67c | 147.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 66c | 140$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 19c | 124.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 17c | 123.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 435 | 37.9%165 W · 270 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over | 68c | 119.12$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…0df2backed Over | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…cfa1backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…37c4backed Over | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 66c | 83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 614 | 37.5%230 W · 384 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 72c | 69.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc3…861abacked Over | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed Under | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 66c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 67c | 55.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…44d1backed Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78ce…dc3dbacked Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…4be1backed Over | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)RU Saint-Gilloise won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.