TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0102…e4d2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+220.5%+$227.99
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.63
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.48
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.81
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Valspar Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.7
Will Viktor Hovland finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Valspar Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+189%+$249.59
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$147
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The American Express tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+163.9%+$398.28
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 Hero World Challenge?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+104.1%+$150.78
Will Russell Henley win the 2025 Tour Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2025 Tour Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2025 Tour Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.74
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Cameron Young win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Ben Griffin win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.73
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Cameron Young win the 2025 Wyndham Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+295.3%+$295.07
Will Aaron Rai win the 2025 Wyndham Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.48
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+525%+$562.01
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2676.9%20 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$31.9
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29%+$38.98
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$70.91
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$152
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$63.16
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+28.2%+$33.28
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$79
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$104.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+28.2%+$42.31
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Everton win on 2025-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+41%+$41.01
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$54.18
Will Leicester win on 2025-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$30.6
Will Tottenham win on 2025-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$36.67
Will West Ham win on 2025-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Chelsea win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Everton win on 2025-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+49.3%+$6.17
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$38.19
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$19.55
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$188
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+51.5%+$134.97
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Jaguars (-4.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$93.5
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$42.33
Spread: Cowboys (-2.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+49.4%+$49.36
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+58.7%+$88.1
Spread: Bills (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+69.5%+$104.24
LAR vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$135.69
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$194.6
Spread: Colts (-6.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$113.02
Cowboys vs. Broncosbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$147
Titans vs. Coltsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Packers (-14.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.4
Seahawks vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$51.44
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$44.8
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-60.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Texas A&M: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$67.17
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+88.7%+$133.02
Vanderbilt vs. Texas: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.2
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$147
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-68.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$58.42
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$111.83
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$37.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta (META) close at >$690 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 26 – Jan 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+30%+$30.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$5,100 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.