Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Royer (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8865ceb2f26636fb2148d9c7d5d5febc44a395ac8d008f9f89395ef4e5fe2924
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royerof Djokovic, Royer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d1a…41d5backed Djokovic | 54c | 2,300$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Royer | 46c | 1,407$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.6 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Royer | 46c | 994.21$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.87 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Royer | 46c | 609.34$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Royer | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Royer | 43c | 372$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.04 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Royer | 47c | 366.34$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.16 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Royer | 47c | 343.03$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.81 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Djokovic | 54c | 324.07$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed Djokovic | 60c | 321.23$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Royer | 49c | 304.2$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.42 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Royer | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Djokovic | 57c | 200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.18 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Djokovic | 57c | 179.41$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Djokovic | 52c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Royer | 39c | 120$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Royer | 36c | 105.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.05 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Royer | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Royer | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Djokovic | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Royer | 51c | 84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Royer | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Royer | 46c | 80.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Royer | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Royer | 45c | 64.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Royer | 49c | 58.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…d6fabacked Djokovic | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Royer | 48c | 45.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef2…e7acbacked Djokovic | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Royer | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed Djokovic | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Royer | 48c | 22.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Djokovic | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Djokovic | 53c | 20.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Royer (+2.5)this page
- Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
- Royer vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Royer vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Royer (+1.5)Djokovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.