Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Royer (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf090d75741de435e38951edacdd7b5f2757d5cfa2eb7a94032382663ce0221e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djokovicof Djokovic, Royer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Djokovic | 79c | 10,000$7,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.01 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Royer | 21c | 8,081$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.93 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Royer | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Djokovic | 79c | 1,225$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.25 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Djokovic | 79c | 1,200$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Royer | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Royer | 22c | 975.82$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.68 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Djokovic | 78c | 975.82$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.68 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Royer | 26c | 538.7$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Djokovic | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Royer | 19c | 372$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Djokovic | 78c | 256.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…dc6ebacked Djokovic | 79c | 250.63$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Royer | 21c | 220.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Royer | 21c | 199.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9606…1acfbacked Royer | 23c | 129.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Royer | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Royer | 26c | 78.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Royer (+1.5)this page
- Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic won
- Royer vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Royer vs DjokovicDjokovic won
- Set Handicap: Djokovic (-2.5) vs Royer (+2.5)Royer won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.