TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d2c…cd4e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
337
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT24945.4%113 W · 136 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 249 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$106.93
Wimbledon ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Jan Choinskibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$48.5
Wimbledon WTA: Gabriela Ruse vs Caty McNallybacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.15
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.73
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Caty McNally vs Petra Marcinkobacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tausonbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Robin Montgomerybacked Marina Bassols Ribera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Maria Timofeeva vs Heather Watsonbacked Heather Watson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Mariam Bolkvadze vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Mariam Bolkvadze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$54.09
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Jerome Kymbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+54%+$59.43
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Anastasia Gasanovabacked Anastasia Gasanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Iryna Shymanovich vs Katherine Sebovbacked Iryna Shymanovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$56.47
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Mackenzie McDonald vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Jeline Vandrommebacked Maria Lourdes Carle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.4
Set Handicap: Sasnovich (-1.5) vs Hunter (+1.5)backed Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$21.53
Set Handicap: Kudermetova (-1.5) vs Ngounoue (+1.5)backed Ngounoue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Set Handicap: Searle (-1.5) vs Gaubas (+1.5)backed Searle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Henry Searlebacked Henry Searle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lucrezia Stefaninibacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$42.69
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Alina Korneeva vs Andrea Lazaro Garciabacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katherine Sebov vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Katherine Sebov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$27.51
Showing 25 of 249 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT5850%29 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$109.41
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.65
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$28
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.19
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$33.1
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.67
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$39.17
Amine Gouiri: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+188.8%+$41.53
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$31.68
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Mohamed Salah: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$49
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+142.6%+$31.37
Maximiliano Araújo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$82.76
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$42.85
Federico Valverde: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.93
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$78.51
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$55.37
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 10.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$100.69
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$95.69
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.31
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.6
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$51.29
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$39.45
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$66.59
Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 12.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Joventut vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Joventut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.