NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec01ddd9750f86cfab8f0019efe58a787506b4a94d58ffc8515742da59640a03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 50c | 2,450$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.94 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 1,999$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.62 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Under | 48c | 1,452$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.96 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 50c | 1,030$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.07 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 54c | 820.39$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.39 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 52c | 786.98$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.63 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 672.27$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 670.87$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.52 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 479.74$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.61 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 53c | 439.06$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.23 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 298.01$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.96 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Under | 49c | 288.91$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 219.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 209.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 52c | 174.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 48c | 166.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 163.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 161.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.83 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Under | 55c | 141.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 105.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 59c | 105.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 50c | 98.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 37c | 83.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Over | 52c | 82.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Over | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 35c | 66.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 57c | 62.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…21cdbacked Over | 58c | 59.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed Under | 56c | 58.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206d…7c44backed Over | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed Over | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Over | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Under | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Over | 46c | 46.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 53c | 44.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 51c | 44.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 57c | 41.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 51c | 40.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…dbd4backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Under | 32c | 37.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 68c | 36.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775f…c82dbacked Over | 52c | 31.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 50c | 28.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…73debacked Over | 50c | 28.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Over | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…b1a2backed Under | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…b3a0backed Over | 50c | 24.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…3affbacked Over | 50c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 53c | 21.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 57c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 57c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 57c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 57c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 57c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 57c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 57c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 57c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 57c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 57c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 57c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 57c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 57c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 57c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 57c | 20.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Over | 61c | 17.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5this page
- Grizzlies vs. RocketsRockets won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-16.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-17.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.