TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,479

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,427 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafaf…1635backed Rockets69c1,462$1,011 inWon+$450.941,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies40c940.71$377 inLost-$376.772,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rockets45c314.15$140 inWon+$173.79,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Grizzlies65c301.69$196 inLost-$195.8511261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Grizzlies56c220.91$124 inLost-$123.7179650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Rockets44c171.05$75 inWon+$95.7911451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies58c118.69$69 inLost-$69.015,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Rockets76c117.17$89 inWon+$28.4752461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Rockets42c114.86$48 inWon+$66.6228548.4%138 W · 147 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Rockets54c106.39$58 inWon+$48.7111040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Rockets51c97.06$50 inWon+$47.5693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Grizzlies51c96.91$49 inLost-$49.171,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Grizzlies38c96.28$37 inLost-$36.5927138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies26c86.31$22 inLost-$22.448,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Grizzlies61c57.31$35 inLost-$35.0921350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Rockets70c56.87$40 inWon+$16.881,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockets38c50.71$19 inWon+$31.442,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25c5…8581backed Grizzlies61c48.03$29 inLost-$29.33557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Rockets41c44.65$18 inWon+$26.3418450.5%93 W · 91 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed Rockets50c38.8$19 inWon+$19.347382.2%60 W · 13 L+18.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+45.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked Rockets43c36.09$16 inWon+$20.516446.3%76 W · 88 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Grizzlies44c35.33$16 inLost-$15.6359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rockets40c26.37$11 inWon+$15.823,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Grizzlies57c22.71$13 inLost-$12.958344.6%37 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.