NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c97c82fe0f539e6887c658c94ab83ad2325583c2deddfbd9568987177220922
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 38c | 1,674$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.54 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 61c | 1,027$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.57 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 6c | 808.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 66c | 561.02$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.23 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 5c | 204.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 31c | 196.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 9c | 179.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 55c | 135.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 41c | 131.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 45c | 128.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 67c | 125.55$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 99.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Under | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 54.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 33c | 54.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 58c | 50.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 37c | 42.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 61c | 41.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 46 | 84.8%39 W · 7 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 72c | 36.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 60c | 32.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 56c | 30.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 55c | 28.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 54c | 27.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 65c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 24.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Over | 55c | 23.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Over | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…3df3backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Over | 80c | 13.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5this page
- Grizzlies vs. RocketsRockets won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-16.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-17.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.