NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb23ee94d0a6017c4c4613af9dbef58f7b071faf1143e439f58995315c8aae7b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 2,802$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 52c | 1,390$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.21 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 1,254$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.8 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 994.39$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 50c | 442.8$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 440.21$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.3 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 48c | 346.65$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.39 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 332.35$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.82 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 45c | 240.08$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 39c | 233.07$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 45c | 228.28$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 59c | 214.92$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 59c | 214.92$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.12 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 209.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 207.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 46c | 165.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 155.51$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 47c | 152.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.79 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 130.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 41c | 96.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 60c | 80.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ee…6900backed Under | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 57c | 74.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 57c | 74.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…7f2ebacked Under | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…0888backed Over | 55c | 61.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd946…0d96backed Under | 44c | 52.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…3414backed Under | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…4adabacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Under | 41c | 34.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 42c | 29.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…bbaebacked Over | 58c | 29.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 43c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 43c | 26.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 56c | 25.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 48c | 24.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 48c | 23.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 56c | 20.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Over | 60c | 19.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Over | 60c | 19.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5this page
- Grizzlies vs. RocketsRockets won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-16.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-17.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.