NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd46b0333543af11f87199f29e03f0c007dd041c3865c6c5deb4201627f4c5bfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 3,189$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…b221backed Over | 51c | 2,492$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb811…1081backed Under | 46c | 1,031$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa88b…976cbacked Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8c…2f40backed Under | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Under | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 50c | 878.09$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.05 | 303 | 48.2%146 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Over | 49c | 878.09$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.83 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3722…1f0abacked Over | 50c | 878.09$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.05 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e51abacked Over | 50c | 878.09$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…287dbacked Over | 48c | 850.69$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 844.43$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.33 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 46c | 724.53$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.94 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 671.13$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.49 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 54c | 647.85$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.01 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 54c | 628.44$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.08 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 54c | 627.16$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.64 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…4726backed Under | 49c | 567.74$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 50c | 538.35$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.18 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 526.19$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.09 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Over | 53c | 383.93$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.45 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 53c | 319.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.37 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 319.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.37 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 54c | 314.21$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 54c | 314.21$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 45c | 286.37$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.88 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 59c | 278$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.03 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Under | 46c | 271.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 41c | 237.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 202.05$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Under | 46c | 145.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 46c | 126.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 112.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Under | 33c | 111.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 35c | 105.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Over | 61c | 97.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Under | 46c | 94.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Over | 68c | 71.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 296 | 65.5%194 W · 102 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 46c | 69.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 67.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Under | 49c | 67.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 40c | 65.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 45c | 62.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Under | 47c | 56.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 387 | 36.4%141 W · 246 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 53c | 45.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Over | 65c | 45.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Over | 55c | 44.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed Over | 53c | 38.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a4…78a2backed Under | 45c | 37.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Under | 50c | 36.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…4740backed Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 55c | 29.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 45c | 27.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…fe19backed Under | 46c | 27.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 53c | 26.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 53c | 26.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 25.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 48c | 24.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 55c | 22.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 53c | 19.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Over | 59c | 19.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5this page
- Grizzlies vs. RocketsRockets won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-16.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-17.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.