NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x454d1c13f2275e83266b29bcb79edc1562f7019de7918042725e0f4102aa4568
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Grizzlies, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $378,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Grizzlies | 10c | 21,850$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.35 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 10c | 13,000$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 9,812$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.13 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Grizzlies | 7c | 9,234$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.31 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Grizzlies | 12c | 8,878$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.41 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies | 10c | 8,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.99 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Grizzlies | 6c | 7,289$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.24 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Grizzlies | 7c | 6,717$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.22 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 8c | 6,551$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.05 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 0c | 6,350$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Grizzlies | 1c | 5,992$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies | 9c | 5,895$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.45 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…0f2bbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 5,734$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.72 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 5,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Grizzlies | 11c | 4,536$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.31 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 2c | 4,349$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 10c | 3,926$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.59 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 3,511$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.45 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 5c | 3,143$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.58 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Grizzlies | 17c | 3,137$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.95 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Grizzlies | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 2,883$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.88 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Grizzlies | 10c | 2,625$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.52 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…fd40backed Grizzlies | 10c | 2,625$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.45 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Grizzlies | 15c | 2,516$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.63 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…7235backed Grizzlies | 14c | 2,500$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Grizzlies | 16c | 2,479$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.37 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcb…a1d7backed Grizzlies | 12c | 2,431$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies | 15c | 2,288$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.82 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Grizzlies | 12c | 2,044$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.33 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Grizzlies | 12c | 2,020$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.28 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies | 13c | 1,995$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.65 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Grizzlies | 3c | 1,992$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 331 | 39.3%130 W · 201 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,893$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Grizzlies | 10c | 1,873$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.31 | 255 | 54.1%138 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,811$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.23 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Grizzlies | 14c | 1,776$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.97 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,744$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.22 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,740$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.57 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Grizzlies | 18c | 1,694$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.25 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 1,579$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.44 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Grizzlies | 13c | 1,544$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.21 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 12c | 1,463$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.23 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,447$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.74 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…194bbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 1,381$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.72 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,233$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.04 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,214$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Grizzlies | 17c | 1,120$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1f…dcfebacked Grizzlies | 12c | 1,099$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Grizzlies | 8c | 1,040$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Grizzlies | 12c | 985.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Grizzlies | 7c | 970.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 940.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Grizzlies | 9c | 826.62$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Grizzlies | 9c | 777.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Grizzlies | 10c | 769.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Grizzlies | 11c | 710.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Grizzlies | 10c | 656.12$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…4b2bbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 631.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 23cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Grizzlies | 11c | 620.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 609 | 44.8%273 W · 336 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Grizzlies | 11c | 602.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3720…a4c9backed Grizzlies | 16c | 593.5$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Grizzlies | 17c | 572.39$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Grizzlies | 12c | 568.32$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Grizzlies | 14c | 564.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Grizzlies | 17c | 558.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 139 | 32.4%45 W · 94 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Grizzlies | 9c | 550$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…fde1backed Grizzlies | 9c | 529.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Grizzlies | 14c | 511.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 499.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…6465backed Grizzlies | 13c | 494.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Grizzlies | 11c | 487.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…d091backed Grizzlies | 9c | 472.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Grizzlies | 11c | 424$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Grizzlies | 11c | 421.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…84b4backed Grizzlies | 7c | 400.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7f…85d5backed Grizzlies | 12c | 394.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Grizzlies | 13c | 368.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…87a6backed Grizzlies | 13c | 364.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Grizzlies | 6c | 349.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf477…7286backed Grizzlies | 11c | 344.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies | 17c | 312.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed Grizzlies | 10c | 288.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…85f9backed Grizzlies | 14c | 269.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Grizzlies | 14c | 269.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…a899backed Grizzlies | 8c | 263.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…6591backed Grizzlies | 12c | 263.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Grizzlies | 7c | 259.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Grizzlies | 8c | 257.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 248.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Grizzlies | 16c | 239.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 249 | 48.2%120 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…51fabacked Grizzlies | 12c | 236.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Grizzlies | 6c | 219.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…9532backed Grizzlies | 13c | 218.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Rocketsthis page
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-16.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-17.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.