TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Grizzlies, Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$378,613
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$313,115

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,613 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5aa…9134backed Grizzlies10c21,850$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.3519957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies10c13,000$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3064,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Grizzlies3c9,812$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.131,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Grizzlies7c9,234$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.311417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Grizzlies12c8,878$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.4124247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies10c8,000$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.991,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Grizzlies6c7,289$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.248923.6%21 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Grizzlies7c6,717$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.2213842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies8c6,551$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.058,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies0c6,350$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.48820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Grizzlies1c5,992$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.45213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Grizzlies9c5,895$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.4547028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Grizzlies8c5,734$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.726440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies0c5,500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.57211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Grizzlies11c4,536$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.3165939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies2c4,349$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.282,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Grizzlies10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40072450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Grizzlies11c4,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies10c3,926$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.591,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Grizzlies13c3,511$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.4515435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies5c3,143$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.583,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Grizzlies17c3,137$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.951,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Grizzlies7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.994639.1%18 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies10c2,883$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.889,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Grizzlies10c2,625$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.528748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ba4…fd40backed Grizzlies10c2,625$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.456628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Grizzlies15c2,516$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.638544.7%38 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1bd…7235backed Grizzlies14c2,500$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3596429.7%19 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Grizzlies16c2,479$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.3711040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfcb…a1d7backed Grizzlies12c2,431$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.68540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies15c2,288$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.821,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Grizzlies12c2,044$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.3337747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Grizzlies12c2,020$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2848944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Grizzlies10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Grizzlies13c1,995$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.652,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Grizzlies3c1,992$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5933139.3%130 W · 201 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ab1…7df3backed Grizzlies11c1,893$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.251827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-28%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Grizzlies10c1,873$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3125554.1%138 W · 117 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Grizzlies11c1,811$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2386641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Grizzlies14c1,776$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.978942.7%38 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies12c1,744$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.223,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Grizzlies11c1,740$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.575728.1%16 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26a6…dedebacked Grizzlies18c1,694$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.255626.8%15 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Grizzlies12c1,579$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4446632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd25…7d10backed Grizzlies13c1,544$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.217642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies12c1,463$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.232,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies12c1,447$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.741,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…194bbacked Grizzlies12c1,381$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.722240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Grizzlies12c1,233$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.046817.6%12 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Grizzlies12c1,214$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.45740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Grizzlies17c1,120$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.048050%40 W · 40 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec1f…dcfebacked Grizzlies12c1,099$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Grizzlies8c1,040$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9140726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Grizzlies11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11042645.5%194 W · 232 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Grizzlies11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11068944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f0…1e62backed Grizzlies12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Grizzlies12c985.09$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2135531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Grizzlies7c970.94$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6961638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Grizzlies2c940.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0611453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Grizzlies9c826.62$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.521,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Grizzlies9c777.47$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0355316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Grizzlies10c769.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.91,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Grizzlies11c710.63$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.67037.1%26 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Grizzlies10c656.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.184214.3%6 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49d3…4b2bbacked Grizzlies12c631.47$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.781741.2%7 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+82.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Grizzlies11c620.08$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4760944.8%273 W · 336 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Grizzlies11c602.38$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2638432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3720…a4c9backed Grizzlies16c593.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.961233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Grizzlies17c572.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3125146.2%116 W · 135 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Grizzlies12c568.32$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.29545.3%43 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Grizzlies14c564.41$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9179650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Grizzlies17c558.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0213932.4%45 W · 94 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed Grizzlies9c550$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.54143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfca…fde1backed Grizzlies9c529.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.651741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Grizzlies14c511.41$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.625546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Grizzlies12c499.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaefa…6465backed Grizzlies13c494.75$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.321650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Grizzlies11c487.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.033743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x410c…d091backed Grizzlies9c472.7$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.544141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Grizzlies11c424$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Grizzlies11c421.46$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9462144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2918…84b4backed Grizzlies7c400.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.62650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea7f…85d5backed Grizzlies12c394.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.381040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Grizzlies13c368.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.972937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa89b…87a6backed Grizzlies13c364.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.394339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Grizzlies6c349.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf477…7286backed Grizzlies11c344.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.862321.7%5 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick19cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies17c312.95$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.21,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdacf…3c74backed Grizzlies10c288.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.851662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8076…85f9backed Grizzlies14c269.87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.916125.5%41 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Grizzlies14c269.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.659851%50 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf25…a899backed Grizzlies8c263.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.111346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7f…6591backed Grizzlies12c263.32$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.66328.6%18 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Grizzlies7c259.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.324332.9%80 W · 163 L-22.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Grizzlies8c257.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5841753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies10c248.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.886,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Grizzlies16c239.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8924948.2%120 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54df…51fabacked Grizzlies12c236.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4214963.1%94 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Grizzlies6c219.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42532%8 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick17cpaid+95.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9087…9532backed Grizzlies13c218.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.438229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.