NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f99d20727ff7e73fd99fda68dd26f889c1bd6bd11072ae2d57a90a4d742ed72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,402$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Over | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.85 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 1,019$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.25 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Under | 36c | 998.33$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.91 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 53c | 943.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 50c | 750.15$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Under | 66c | 509.25$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.1 | 447 | 51.5%230 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 34c | 406.08$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.91 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 53c | 310.41$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 18c | 245.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 34c | 230.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.16 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 18c | 228$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 18c | 213$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 30c | 140.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 123.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 110.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 55c | 105.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed Under | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 14c | 80.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 65c | 79.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…d762backed Under | 58c | 50.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 49c | 41.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Over | 62c | 39.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 68c | 31.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 45c | 31.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 28.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…0afebacked Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Under | 51c | 27.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…d489backed Under | 51c | 26.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 66c | 22.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 66c | 22.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 66c | 22.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5this page
- Grizzlies vs. RocketsRockets won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineRockets won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-14.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-16.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-17.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.