TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7312…df72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
143
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$58.33
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.43
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$53.12
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.43
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+268%+$58.03
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$44.62
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+156.9%+$53.38
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+146.4%+$49.32
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.42
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.58
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.67
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.26
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.28
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.77
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 246.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.39
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.06
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Miami Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Miami Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Rei Sakamotobacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Miami Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Miami Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Murphy Cassonebacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$288.09
Miami Open: Laura Siegemund vs Petra Marcinkobacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$449.28
Miami Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,809Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,014.85
Miami Open, Qualification: Reese Brantmeier vs Yue Yuanbacked Reese Brantmeier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,731Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+144%+$5,372.66
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
BNP Paribas Open: Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
BNP Paribas Open: Talia Gibson vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,977Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+158.2%+$3,127.91
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$1,438.11
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Austin: Solana Sierra vs Bianca Andreescubacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
BNP Paribas Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15,205Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+128.9%+$19,602.03
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Bublik vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$8,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,039.85
BNP Paribas Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,744Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$2,166.91
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,938.62
BNP Paribas Open: Coco Gauff vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$457.1
Brasilia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Eduardo Ribeirobacked Eduardo Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$400
BNP Paribas Open: Gael Monfils vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$172.66
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelkabacked Reilly Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35.76
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seton Hall Pirates vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,988.9
Duquesne Dukes vs. VCU Ramsbacked Duquesne Dukes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.27
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.73
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$1,709.09
Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
US forces enter Iran by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.