NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86009ab98a13d6a37f41266a2bccff1f80d1e9a4cc33c8a856fe10e891e36956
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Under | 50c | 2,134$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 1,066$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 745.04$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.52 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 642.26$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 220.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.23 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Under | 26c | 191.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 191.12$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…21cdbacked Under | 37c | 173.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 74c | 111.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 52c | 110.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…7052backed Over | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Under | 25c | 69.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…8617backed Over | 52c | 65.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 52c | 51.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 51.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Over | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Under | 49c | 26.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 70c | 20.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Kings vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)Kings won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-17.5)Kings won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-18.5)Kings won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-19.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.