TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,596
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,999

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,596 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over44c14,303$6,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,949.249,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under52c13,488$7,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,079.157852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Over51c8,759$4,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,292.093732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Over51c7,000$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4302166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c4,579$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.7247856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under49c4,151$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.0414441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96059646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Under57c2,582$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.5912646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6447…8075backed Over45c2,543$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.652157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2814…2941backed Over45c1,663$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c1,273$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.123,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c1,005$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.664,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ab…cf00backed Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Under49c969.4$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.011553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdfe…030ebacked Under49c969.4$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.01933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-41.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed Under50c812.86$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.434032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under53c748.3$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.61,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…cda7backed Over51c733.16$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.252055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Over50c627$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.55427.8%15 W · 39 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c596$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3081,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over44c531.52$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.6519348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24533150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over46c445.93$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.791,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over74c341.78$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3565872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under26c322.84$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.942,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over46c295.13$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.731,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under52c291.35$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4144345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd094…80e9backed Over51c262.06$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0e…29c4backed Under50c261.9$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over45c240.91$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0639448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over47c230.28$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.431,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2221147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Over45c213.41$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.372450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c200.69$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.814,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Over52c156.54$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.142572%18 W · 7 L+5.2wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+46.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under48c149.36$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6924849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over58c138.36$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.91,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over44c109.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5717643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5633949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under36c96.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6237848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6325360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over44c92.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.631,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Over47c88.33$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.188652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Under50c84.39$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.193828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8827354.9%150 W · 123 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.493543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29d2…6429backed Over45c64.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.461250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under55c61.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.277643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Over49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.272277.3%17 W · 5 L+6.7wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+64%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0a61…4db6backed Under53c55.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.561662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb20f…5737backed Under52c54.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.43647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under55c51.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5436051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…fa34backed Over48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.246147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over44c48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2739041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under55c41.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12dc…1100backed Over48c40.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.992842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Over47c40.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2340546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over44c39.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.414253.5%76 W · 66 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over48c35.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5536350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over44c35.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9710256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11fc…c546backed Under55c34.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-47%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7058…26b2backed Over47c30.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.421573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over74c29.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.512,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Under55c29.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.986663.6%42 W · 24 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8c9e…8e90backed Over44c28.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2414051.4%72 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over50c28.89$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4514052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under54c28.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Over51c22.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1918548.1%89 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.361151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.311648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.353348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.335052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.337647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Under55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.37646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.310447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.341753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.337853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Under55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.311653.4%62 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.319254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.322047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee1d…ccc9backed Under55c20.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.31850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under56c18.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3816153.4%86 W · 75 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.