NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-19.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9d7397c43cd8f8b50e4584e33f10f24ac7219445264116667a17ed7a4dab23b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Trail Blazers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf46f…4ad4backed Kings | 50c | 3,844$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 3,589$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.32 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,449$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Kings | 49c | 2,423$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.27 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,302$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.78 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Kings | 49c | 2,106$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.1 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings | 60c | 1,876$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.4 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 408.1$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.83 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kings | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kings | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Kings | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Kings | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…16e6backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 47.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 40.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 38.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kings | 50c | 28.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 25.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 24.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…ad64backed Kings | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kings | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-19.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Kings vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)Kings won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-17.5)Kings won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-18.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.