NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x525f270821575044fc62c21680253d0a5508fe341a509ca57ec0a025e108432c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 5,779$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 58c | 2,827$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.81 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…3096backed Under | 52c | 2,656$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.18 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 2,433$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.19 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 52c | 1,851$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.46 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Under | 51c | 1,745$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 78c | 1,724$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.59 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 1,698$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.93 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 53c | 987.35$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.05 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 72c | 946.69$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.63 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 779.26$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 536.57$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Under | 58c | 504.5$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.43 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 47c | 336.77$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.82 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 11c | 183$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb6…8fdebacked Over | 56c | 179.87$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 177.38$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 44c | 169.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 55c | 155.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 46c | 140.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 21c | 140.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 11c | 137$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 74c | 133.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 70c | 122$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 46c | 117.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Under | 11c | 109.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 45c | 106.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 23c | 91.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 45c | 89.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 23c | 73.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 23c | 73.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 21c | 70.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 48c | 70.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 44c | 69.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 25c | 67.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 43c | 67.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 26c | 64.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 45c | 62.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 23c | 58.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 417 | 53.2%222 W · 195 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Under | 18c | 55.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 56c | 54.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 55c | 52.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 47c | 51.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 42c | 48.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 26c | 45.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 44c | 44.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 56c | 42.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 44c | 40.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 48c | 36.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Under | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked Under | 54c | 35.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 43c | 35.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 35.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…c546backed Under | 58c | 34.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Under | 53c | 33.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed Under | 52c | 29.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 57c | 29.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…0b62backed Under | 55c | 28.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 48c | 25.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Over | 50c | 22.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Kings vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)Kings won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-17.5)Kings won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-18.5)Kings won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-19.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.