NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a44e7882366f983ac281d12f1468db816fa26e5e1715c6ee93ebc9bd31931f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Trail Blazers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 6,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.99 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kings | 54c | 3,417$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.52 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Kings | 49c | 2,550$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.75 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kings | 53c | 2,314$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.59 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 2,017$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.98 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Kings | 58c | 1,999$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.77 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 1,914$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.9 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 47c | 1,485$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.03 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Kings | 46c | 1,443$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.3 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,382$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.73 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kings | 60c | 986.74$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.69 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.05 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2e…0d9ebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 861.78$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.75 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 829.66$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.86 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 767.12$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.24 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Kings | 53c | 683.77$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.37 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Kings | 48c | 581.28$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.27 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Kings | 47c | 484.1$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.57 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 388.72$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kings | 48c | 222.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.87 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Kings | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 199.96$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 167.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kings | 52c | 118.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 115.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kings | 53c | 110.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Kings | 52c | 107.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 106.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Kings | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Kings | 54c | 83.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Kings | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce82…8c84backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 70.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 68.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Kings | 44c | 62.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Kings | 47c | 55.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…defdbacked Kings | 46c | 55.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 51.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 51.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…1d03backed Kings | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kings | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 42.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Kings | 47c | 38.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Kings | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…e8ccbacked Kings | 48c | 29.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-18.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Kings vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-16.5)Kings won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-17.5)Kings won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-19.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.