TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Trail Blazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Kings, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,132,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,245,561

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,132,273 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Kings5c100,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Kings3c50,463$1,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.441,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Kings5c33,338$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.917042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Kings5c30,553$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.6620948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Kings6c22,011$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.1747028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Kings7c21,162$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.3559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Kings2c20,195$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.5483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Kings2c19,960$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.254042.5%17 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Kings7c18,944$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.951417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings5c17,749$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.812,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings3c17,495$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.843,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kings8c14,129$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.041,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings5c13,072$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.672450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Kings4c10,453$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.2536023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Kings5c10,077$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.861,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings7c9,839$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Kings6c9,620$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.4263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings7c9,445$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.174,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Kings2c9,049$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.543179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Kings7c8,093$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.5215435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Kings7c8,040$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.4921350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Kings8c7,705$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.4166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Kings7c6,926$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.920744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Kings7c6,245$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.731,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Kings10c5,039$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.478846.6%41 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Kings9c5,018$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9562144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Kings7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Kings7c4,704$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.2824831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd162…0d24backed Kings12c4,620$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.424843.8%21 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Kings6c4,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Kings6c4,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Kings6c4,438$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3186641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Kings7c4,047$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.2625657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings6c4,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Kings6c4,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Kings4c3,977$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Kings10c3,825$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.328035%28 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…d60abacked Kings6c3,790$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.411723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+42.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Kings5c3,753$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.661315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kings6c3,322$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.261,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26a6…dedebacked Kings9c3,151$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.625626.8%15 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Kings7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21061336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Kings8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Kings7c2,833$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2838434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Kings5c2,829$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.457455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings6c2,639$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.743,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings1c2,547$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.297211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Kings5c2,544$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.141,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Kings2c2,535$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.918923.6%21 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Kings5c2,477$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8533139.3%130 W · 201 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Kings5c2,451$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Kings5c2,451$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.561,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Kings5c2,451$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5619254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ed…7103backed Kings10c2,442$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kings7c2,424$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.722,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ba4…fd40backed Kings5c2,411$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.556628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Kings4c2,254$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.144214.3%6 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x019d…5b56backed Kings12c2,131$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Kings6c2,100$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Kings7c2,023$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6346632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings5c2,007$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.845,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Kings5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Kings5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Kings7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14022846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Kings4c1,979$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4685742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7f…66f4backed Kings7c1,956$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.91633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Kings10c1,892$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.229037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings1c1,841$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.148820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Kings6c1,829$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3423833.2%79 W · 159 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Kings6c1,527$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6824937.3%93 W · 156 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Kings7c1,349$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4217944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x943f…d29dbacked Kings8c1,200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Kings6c1,151$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5447436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Kings5c1,132$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5857051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Kings5c1,131$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5737011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c70…b536backed Kings2c1,129$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.84812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Kings8c1,102$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.611,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3339…1db6backed Kings8c1,100$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Kings9c1,058$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5413932.4%45 W · 94 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Kings9c1,050$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5428046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cdd…d3ecbacked Kings2c1,037$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.167653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Kings8c1,032$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5454747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff9…bf35backed Kings7c1,007$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.62137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-77%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Kings3c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2546928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Kings6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6068944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Kings7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704254.8%23 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Kings6c999.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6042645.5%194 W · 232 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd89…96c4backed Kings3c999.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked Kings10c936.54$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.654440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Kings9c933.01$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.378544.7%38 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Kings8c921.18$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.691241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Kings10c911.38$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1415635.3%55 W · 101 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Kings11c906.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.710840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Kings11c892.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6511040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Kings10c812.26$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5845838%174 W · 284 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Kings8c793.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.815740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Kings12c789.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7217247.7%82 W · 90 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Kings7c727.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6424948.2%120 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Kings3c719.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.667821.8%17 W · 61 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Kings10c718.21$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.961,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.