TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf6ed…7103

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.37
Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$310.23
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$245.27
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Cheeki_Breeki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.25
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$103.41
Dota 2: OG vs Ivory - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$178.52
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$231.86
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Cheeki_Breeki (BO3) - DreamLeague Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Cheeki_Breeki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+65%+$39.4
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$116.2
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$27.28
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,130.61
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$395.75
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$272.66
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$708Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$579.62
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aix en Provence: Ignacio Buse vs Thomas Faurelbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.59
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.81
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitanobacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$66.61
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Mirra Andreeva vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.18
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Maria Timofeeva vs Chloe Paquetbacked Chloe Paquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$40.37
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Donna Vekicbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$44.43
BMW Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$143.13
Sarasota: Hugo Dellien vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$16.95
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Gabriela Rusebacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.62
Qatar Total Open: Karolina Muchova vs Victoria Mbokobacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+107.3%+$1,087.9
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Sonay Kartal vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Sasnovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$375.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$25.54
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.2
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+179.1%+$182.7
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.28
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$67.2
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$131.11
All 7 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.