Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd78a4caeb2797d5f513dc02227cf9411a89de10ed440b1f4fb5a9460dec0086e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Liquid, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 35,941$16,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,270.81 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 20,626$9,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,843.31 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Liquid | 23c | 16,144$3,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,745.71 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Liquid | 16c | 8,405$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.78 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 7,316$4,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.95 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Liquid | 42c | 7,032$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.29 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Team Liquid | 32c | 7,011$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.91 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 4,834$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.92 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Team Liquid | 35c | 4,732$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.18 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 4,600$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.17 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 4,568$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.89 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 4,071$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.14 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 3,846$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.51 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 3,769$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.73 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 3,744$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.33 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd2…da00backed Team Liquid | 32c | 3,702$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Liquid | 53c | 3,697$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.01 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 3,586$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.19 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 3,441$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.06 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,876$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.28 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 2,802$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.9 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 2,743$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.6 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 2,656$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.81 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 2,533$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.93 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 2,291$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.56 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 2,202$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.84 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 45c | 2,152$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.65 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,942$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.33 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,830$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,682$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.29 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,566$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.39 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,465$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.55 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 1,410$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.11 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 1,232$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.15 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Liquid | 10c | 1,070$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,002$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.82 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Team Liquid | 42c | 1,002$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.98 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…05d6backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 999.71$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.89 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Liquid | 50c | 979.68$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.55 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 957.99$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Liquid | 45c | 922.99$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.62 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 893.64$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.64 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11c…e96fbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 861.46$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.69 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 50c | 853.12$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.7 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 815.24$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.96 | 105 | 61%64 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 750$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 722.97$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.18 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Liquid | 2c | 650.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 625.34$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.63 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 599.99$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 534.11$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.27 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 515.33$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.8 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Liquid | 49c | 509.18$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.32 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Team Liquid | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Liquid | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 486.2$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.65 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 484.94$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.47 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 481.09$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.35 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid | 32c | 420.45$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.03 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…b30bbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 409.77$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.42 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Liquid | 16c | 404.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…5c0bbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 399.51$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 399.13$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.81 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 375.3$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Liquid | 29c | 375.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 355$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.35 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 349.15$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.28 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 346$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.39 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 344.29$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.83 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 331.39$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.34 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 325.26$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 318.16$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.08 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 307.49$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.12 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…1fa5backed Team Liquid | 73c | 291.29$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 25c | 286.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Liquid | 55c | 273.38$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ed…7103backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 253.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Liquid | 28c | 249.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…91babacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 232.83$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 230.57$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.81 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 229.67$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Liquid | 14c | 210.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Team Liquid | 22c | 208.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e6…9e72backed Team Liquid | 34c | 201.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…8a0bbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Team Liquid | 49c | 198.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 24c | 197.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 194.59$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.24 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Team Liquid | 43c | 184.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 183.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 182.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Team Liquid | 17c | 176.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Liquid | 44c | 172.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.