Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f8d342acd647e7fdb4856d4bc7acb5b86b96e9776582b4c4f5ae3328e6be6b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Team Liquid, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $387,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $421,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 83,845$34,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,008.59 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Liquid | 60c | 40,274$24,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,161.75 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Team Liquid | 36c | 35,693$12,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,764.2 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 32,430$20,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600.82 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Team Liquid | 33c | 17,556$5,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,815.07 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 9,573$5,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.58 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 8,500$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640.75 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 8,142$3,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,731.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…5639backed Team Liquid | 38c | 7,510$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Team Liquid | 43c | 7,501$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.91 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Liquid | 60c | 7,303$4,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,381.8 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 6,501$3,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,705.76 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 6,449$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.55 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 6,421$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.89 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 6,004$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.69 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 5,398$3,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,254.28 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 4,891$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.13 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 44c | 4,863$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.56 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 42c | 4,712$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.6 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Team Liquid | 51c | 4,693$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.37 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 37c | 4,413$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.81 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 4,169$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.1 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 4,000$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 3,862$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.92 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 3,454$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.72 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Liquid | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.11 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…05d6backed Team Liquid | 43c | 3,183$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.95 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 32c | 3,141$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 2,965$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.39 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 2,909$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.66 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…502ebacked Team Liquid | 16c | 2,833$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 2,727$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.77 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,523$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.72 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 2,505$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.74 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 2,376$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.17 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 2,187$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.05 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 45c | 1,982$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.8 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,916$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,782$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.56 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Team Liquid | 14c | 1,761$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.16 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.97 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,634$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.8 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,578$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.97 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 1,562$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.26 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,551$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.23 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Team Liquid | 22c | 1,539$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.47 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…bcfebacked Team Liquid | 40c | 1,530$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 1,500$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.45 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 1,375$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.52 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,302$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.07 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 1,288$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.28 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Liquid | 24c | 1,286$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.89 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,283$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.63 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,253$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.16 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,237$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.64 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…ff69backed Team Liquid | 2c | 1,190$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,092$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.08 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,080$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Liquid | 11c | 1,064$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,038$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.65 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,033$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.02 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…c3cabacked Team Liquid | 14c | 1,028$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…4dadbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 962.07$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.95 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.43per pick | 44cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Liquid | 61c | 938.99$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.2 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ed…7103backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 933.73$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.27 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 927.93$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.26 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 904.51$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.49 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 871.8$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.55 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 856.99$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.88 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Liquid | 44c | 844.88$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.46 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 838.81$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.13 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 810.41$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.32 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Liquid | 43c | 809.23$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.86 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…dc24backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 802.8$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 793.55$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.07 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Liquid | 19c | 761.12$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.53 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 737.87$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.29 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked Team Liquid | 55c | 710.76$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.14 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Team Liquid | 46c | 673.74$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.21 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 671.22$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 643.24$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.51 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Liquid | 43c | 632.55$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.02 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 618$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.54 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 616.32$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.14 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 595.26$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.72 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Liquid | 51c | 572.42$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.16 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 560.24$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.83 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 559.79$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.82 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 558.54$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 105 | 61%64 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 540.91$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.49 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…a5cfbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 534$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 533.62$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.61 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…90dfbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 520.76$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.25 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Team Liquid | 58c | 500.1$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.06 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…d1acbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 497.94$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.57 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 483.81$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.14 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 468.08$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Team Liquid | 54c | 454.41$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.03 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.