TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x09a0…dc24

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 61 out of 100; worst CS2 at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,350
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.34
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.28
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$660
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.99
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.99
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.4
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.29
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$810Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$2,190
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$980
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$785.84
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$769.64
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$447
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$889.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.67
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$41.74
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.69
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.27
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.23per pick35cpaid+73.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,404Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+206.6%+$2,901.45
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$950Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$4,050
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$3,500
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,304.67
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,709.98
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$42.03
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,749.94
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,220.35
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$370
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.67
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$609.99
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,050Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$2,950
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$657.26
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$271.45
LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$780
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.99
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$740
LoL: Disguised vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
All 21 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,633Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,633.47
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,439.98
Blues vs. Utahbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,630Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$2,370
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,120
Avalanche vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,230
Jets vs. Utahbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,650
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,004.82
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$853.01
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+122.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$670
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$679.98
Spread: Magic (-12.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$757Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$854.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$280
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreevabacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$261.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,540Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$3,659.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.