CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaa7899f539d6d630e9df6aae992b6fce59b74860c7c8cbfe3ad8c8e16912c91

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, HOTU
Resolved: Apr 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,015,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,156,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,015,446 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5d58…9a15backed HOTU	19c	492,236$93,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93,528.33	144	41.7%60 W · 84 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed HOTU	15c	19,735$2,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,943.54	239	49%117 W · 122 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed HOTU	7c	15,214$1,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,090.53	2,066	41.5%858 W · 1,208 L	-49.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed HOTU	14c	10,946$1,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,532.42	116	33.6%39 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed HOTU	4c	9,792$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.7	303	40.3%122 W · 181 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed HOTU	9c	8,481$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$791.99	1,411	33.7%475 W · 936 L	+42.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed HOTU	18c	8,229$1,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,496.7	135	46.7%63 W · 72 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed HOTU	11c	6,626$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.7	496	46.6%231 W · 265 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed HOTU	14c	6,427$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.86	367	42.8%157 W · 210 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce2…9787backed HOTU	1c	6,090$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.63	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed HOTU	1c	5,652$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.52	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce00…7ce0backed HOTU	17c	5,643$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.1	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked HOTU	6c	5,595$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.69	325	36%117 W · 208 L	-11.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked HOTU	8c	5,581$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.18	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed HOTU	14c	3,422$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.9	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed HOTU	7c	3,158$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.53	392	48.7%191 W · 201 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked HOTU	10c	2,908$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.49	1,256	46.7%587 W · 669 L	+17.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked HOTU	8c	2,808$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.09	1,611	45.4%731 W · 880 L	+30.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed HOTU	14c	2,788$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.36	124	26.6%33 W · 91 L	-10.9wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fc2…9c0dbacked HOTU	6c	2,725$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.48	126	37.3%47 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked HOTU	14c	2,651$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.21	74	25.7%19 W · 55 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf400…1c47backed HOTU	15c	2,450$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.14	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09a0…dc24backed HOTU	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed HOTU	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked HOTU	8c	1,811$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.75	1,054	49%516 W · 538 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed HOTU	9c	1,750$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.55	887	46.7%414 W · 473 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed HOTU	10c	1,702$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.39	512	52.3%268 W · 244 L	+16.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe2b…20e4backed HOTU	11c	1,659$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.37	96	35.4%34 W · 62 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed HOTU	8c	1,580$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.72	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0368…e741backed HOTU	7c	1,550$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.76	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	15cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed HOTU	12c	1,370$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167	327	32.4%106 W · 221 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked HOTU	15c	1,259$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.85	82	32.9%27 W · 55 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffe1…29aabacked HOTU	6c	1,249$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.99	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked HOTU	16c	1,187$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.92	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a5…d074backed HOTU	1c	1,158$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.91	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed HOTU	7c	1,022$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.61	576	41.5%239 W · 337 L	-8.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed HOTU	6c	1,009$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.54	870	47.9%417 W · 453 L	+15.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked HOTU	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed HOTU	5c	999.96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,259	42.5%535 W · 724 L	+20.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked HOTU	14c	976.28$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.68	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x495c…1249backed HOTU	13c	969.9$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.09	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked HOTU	5c	937.09$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.69	660	34.1%225 W · 435 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9901…e9b4backed HOTU	7c	888.69$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.21	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked HOTU	8c	849.11$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.75	85	15.3%13 W · 72 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked HOTU	15c	799.93$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.99	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed HOTU	3c	776.9$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.32	1,579	29.7%469 W · 1,110 L	-86.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed HOTU	4c	768.58$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.74	186	24.2%45 W · 141 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed HOTU	11c	761.38$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.75	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked HOTU	12c	701.02$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.35	401	40.6%163 W · 238 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc104…5faabacked HOTU	15c	663.61$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.69	80	20%16 W · 64 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU	7c	663.06$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.34	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked HOTU	11c	652.14$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.63	483	19%92 W · 391 L	-65.4wins	-0.14per pick	33cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed HOTU	15c	648.87$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.17	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84e5…2303backed HOTU	3c	635.72$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.91	85	20%17 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked HOTU	15c	632.67$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.9	135	53.3%72 W · 63 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked HOTU	15c	632.67$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.9	83	24.1%20 W · 63 L	-11.7wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Natus Vincere	80c	621.11$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.22	183	41%75 W · 108 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2489…ee90backed HOTU	16c	593.5$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.96	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b9…3efebacked HOTU	16c	593.5$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.96	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked HOTU	6c	518.98$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.14	215	19.1%41 W · 174 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed HOTU	14c	507.6$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.06	103	52.4%54 W · 49 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked HOTU	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	179	45.3%81 W · 98 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed HOTU	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	342	35.4%121 W · 221 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f9…51b1backed HOTU	13c	499.97$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed HOTU	6c	471.8$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.32	213	51.2%109 W · 104 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed HOTU	6c	471.8$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.32	76	50%38 W · 38 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x417f…f97bbacked HOTU	7c	377.68$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.44	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-38%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33dc…5051backed HOTU	9c	354.6$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.12	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed HOTU	7c	354$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.61	133	50.4%67 W · 66 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed HOTU	3c	349.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.18	293	50.2%147 W · 146 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed HOTU	14c	333$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.62	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed HOTU	15c	330$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	1,076	37.6%405 W · 671 L	+34.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd27…a92cbacked HOTU	9c	316.06$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.37	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	23cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked HOTU	16c	296.33$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.41	410	54.6%224 W · 186 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed HOTU	14c	284$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.76	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+41.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ebc…c639backed HOTU	10c	272.16$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.22	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed HOTU	13c	270.94$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.49	1,216	40.1%488 W · 728 L	-65.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed HOTU	6c	237.65$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.42	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed HOTU	12c	237.27$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.53	503	40.2%202 W · 301 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d8…3fd4backed HOTU	6c	235.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf761…810ebacked HOTU	5c	228.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.39	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.21per pick	42cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed HOTU	13c	208.21$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.07	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+5.2wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xae06…be4dbacked Natus Vincere	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	145	60.7%88 W · 57 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0d8…073dbacked HOTU	15c	192.08$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.86	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked HOTU	18c	171.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.22	488	45.7%223 W · 265 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec18…89ebbacked HOTU	14c	165.5$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.17	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed HOTU	7c	160$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	1,109	50.5%560 W · 549 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed HOTU	14c	158.52$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.62	2,061	50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00da…e786backed HOTU	8c	155.81$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.59	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed HOTU	8c	150.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.09	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed HOTU	16c	144.4$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	120	27.5%33 W · 87 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2834…2aacbacked HOTU	15c	142.35$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…fc74backed HOTU	11c	137.29$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	308	31.2%96 W · 212 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked HOTU	15c	126.53$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.98	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked HOTU	14c	122.61$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.17	357	52.9%189 W · 168 L	+22.6wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed HOTU	16c	115.29$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.45	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d9…c572backed HOTU	16c	112.77$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.04	187	50.8%95 W · 92 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked HOTU	11c	107.56$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.09	415	16.6%69 W · 346 L	-36.5wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed HOTU	14c	105.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.83	625	38.6%241 W · 384 L	-16.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked HOTU	15c	101.23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	179	30.2%54 W · 125 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-21%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bthis page
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)Natus Vincere won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event