CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97a56bb784caae618c2976ab6572e839883d12868d7d16d2ad6312fa103b632d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked HOTU | 40c | 19,661$7,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,864.36 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HOTU | 31c | 10,142$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097.28 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 8,507$5,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.44 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed HOTU | 38c | 7,419$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.44 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,904$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.6 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…abc5backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 3,785$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.31 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…39d8backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,928$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,663$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.29 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked HOTU | 30c | 2,622$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.74 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…33e2backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 2,288$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.15 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,798$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.35 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed HOTU | 41c | 1,765$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.45 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,239$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.33 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked HOTU | 33c | 1,206$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.12 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…43f7backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,167$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,100$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 1,044$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.62 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,011$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.2 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 813.33$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.33 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 803.14$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.85 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 793.89$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.96 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 737.04$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.85 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 732$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.8 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 721.16$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed HOTU | 25c | 672.79$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.01 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 663.44$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.01 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed HOTU | 38c | 641.02$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.59 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked HOTU | 28c | 562.56$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.33 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 544.22$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.27 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked HOTU | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c19…6303backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 494.51$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 488$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.2 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…797abacked HOTU | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 445.76$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.04 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 420.18$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 415.18$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 394.19$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 389.5$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked HOTU | 26c | 380$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…c639backed HOTU | 34c | 364.95$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 364.37$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.75 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 359.04$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 333$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 323.71$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 318.51$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed HOTU | 44c | 309.62$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked HOTU | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 277.78$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 266.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 243.67$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed HOTU | 38c | 241.22$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…a3c2backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 235.57$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed HOTU | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 220.93$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 207.93$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…90a0backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 166.06$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 164.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 163.14$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…56aebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 154.69$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed HOTU | 42c | 154.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked HOTU | 32c | 151.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 146.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 146.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 136.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed HOTU | 41c | 133.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HOTU | 33c | 130.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed HOTU | 25c | 129.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed HOTU | 32c | 128.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8185…5cf6backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 122$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked HOTU | 34c | 119.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…8775backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 108.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 285 | 56.8%162 W · 123 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…95c3backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 103.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +155.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HOTU | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed HOTU | 41c | 98.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed HOTU | 30c | 98.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 96.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed HOTU | 41c | 91.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…44d3backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 89.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 87.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 233 | 54.5%127 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked HOTU | 41c | 86.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +201.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 82.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 317 | 59.9%190 W · 127 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed HOTU | 41c | 81.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 80.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 222 | 56.8%126 W · 96 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cd…0cd5backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 77.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed HOTU | 41c | 77.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HOTU | 31c | 73.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed HOTU | 37c | 71.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 70.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.